Even with this, I don't really see some of your other arguments.
This looks mostly like people didn't know who Blake Masters was, and he didn't campaign hard enough locally to get the votes he needed. It sounds like voters are less trusting of an endorsement than directly interacting with people themselves: which is where the lack of funding really hurt him. He had no ability to counter-message, and he had no ability to really introduce himself.
Looks like: poor, maybe amagurish, ground game.
It really does seem more like this was a strong effort by the GOPe to throw the election. It's not like Republicans don't know what political ground game is, they've done it for decades. It seems more like they just didn't do it.
The numbers almost don't even matter. If the GOPe isn't prepared to share the actual personnel necessary to go door-to-door, then they are purposely throwing the election in both 2022 and 2024.
This actually makes me think that Lee Zeldin running for the RNC head is probably one of the most important political conflicts right now. He'd probably force the GOP into supporting populist candidates, and wouldn't approve of intentionally loosing the house, senate, and presidency in 2024, unlike Mitch McConnell and Lindsey Graham are looking to do.
The only other candidate running against Ronna is Harmeet Dhillon.
Dhillon would be a major upgrade from Ronna as she is from the CA GOP who know how to ballot harvest competently. Harmeet is very qualified for the position and she openly supported populist candidates like Kari Lake.
The problem is that Ronna McDaniel is still likely to keep her post. Based on what Lee Zeldin says, it looks like Ronna has secured the votes to remain RNC chair by making back room deals with enough of the 168 who decide.
What does he mean by "new leadership" when he's unable to run?
Honestly, this shit smells like a fucking inside job to kill the populist movement, maybe at the cost of the Republican Party in 2024. Trump or DeSantis simply may not matter. Why would there be donations? Why would there be volunteers? It really looks like the GOP is trying to throw the election.
Crazily enough, I'm starting to think DeSantis shouldn't run so that he survives the fallout of the Republicans losing almost every single race.
Trump’s approval rating among Republican voters was like 95%. His approval rating among Republican politicians was probably 10%. That’s about the proportion we saw publicly supporting him. The leadership of the Republican Party is clearly and wildly out of step with its voters. Of course this manifested as widespread sabotage of populist and nationalist candidates by their “own party”.
What we are seeing now is the considerable downside that comes with refusing to start a third party. Would doing such a thing all but guarantee defeat in the short term? Yes - but how would that differ from what’s happening now? We knowingly went to war with traitors everywhere. How could we win?
I have no idea what the actual approval was. I'm still fine with the Mises Caucus taking over the NH Libertarian Party, so that's what a genuine political third party looks like. But, as is the point, you kinda have to take over a full state to make the point. I think the MAGA movement has that in a few states, like Florida, Ohio, and Texas.
What all of this shows to me is that getting your guy into a keystone position of power isn't enough without significant structural support or sympathy. We just gotta keep beatin' up the ground game at the local level.
I think Harmeet Dhillon is who Zeldin is talking about as new leadership.
Also no need to get this blackpilled.
2024 is not going to end up that terrible for the GOP overall.
The 2024 Senate map is heavily favorable to Republicans. There are three Senate seat pickup opportunities in third solid red states with good election integrity measures: West Virginia, Ohio and Montana.
Governor Jim Justice might be running for Senate in WV and he will be heavily favored against Manchin in a presidential year.
Ohio in a presidential year makes it feasible to beat Sherrod Brown with a good candidate like Frank LaRose.
As long as they don't nominate Zinke in Montana, Tester is definitely beatable. I think Knudsen their state AG might be the best pick here.
So was 2022. The question is whether or not the Republican Party is prepared to kill itself, rather than tolerate populists, and I think the answer is yes. The remaining question is whether or not the populists will counter both betrayal and fraud in the 2 short years we will have for it.
Even with this, I don't really see some of your other arguments.
This looks mostly like people didn't know who Blake Masters was, and he didn't campaign hard enough locally to get the votes he needed. It sounds like voters are less trusting of an endorsement than directly interacting with people themselves: which is where the lack of funding really hurt him. He had no ability to counter-message, and he had no ability to really introduce himself.
Looks like: poor, maybe amagurish, ground game.
It really does seem more like this was a strong effort by the GOPe to throw the election. It's not like Republicans don't know what political ground game is, they've done it for decades. It seems more like they just didn't do it.
The numbers almost don't even matter. If the GOPe isn't prepared to share the actual personnel necessary to go door-to-door, then they are purposely throwing the election in both 2022 and 2024.
This actually makes me think that Lee Zeldin running for the RNC head is probably one of the most important political conflicts right now. He'd probably force the GOP into supporting populist candidates, and wouldn't approve of intentionally loosing the house, senate, and presidency in 2024, unlike Mitch McConnell and Lindsey Graham are looking to do.
Lee Zeldin is unfortunately not running for RNC head anymore.
https://twitter.com/leezeldin/status/1600475213027606530?cxt=HHwWhICghcDug7YsAAAA
The only other candidate running against Ronna is Harmeet Dhillon.
Dhillon would be a major upgrade from Ronna as she is from the CA GOP who know how to ballot harvest competently. Harmeet is very qualified for the position and she openly supported populist candidates like Kari Lake.
https://twitter.com/MortonBlackwell/status/1601678562062655488
The problem is that Ronna McDaniel is still likely to keep her post. Based on what Lee Zeldin says, it looks like Ronna has secured the votes to remain RNC chair by making back room deals with enough of the 168 who decide.
Fuck.
What does he mean by "new leadership" when he's unable to run?
Honestly, this shit smells like a fucking inside job to kill the populist movement, maybe at the cost of the Republican Party in 2024. Trump or DeSantis simply may not matter. Why would there be donations? Why would there be volunteers? It really looks like the GOP is trying to throw the election.
Crazily enough, I'm starting to think DeSantis shouldn't run so that he survives the fallout of the Republicans losing almost every single race.
Trump’s approval rating among Republican voters was like 95%. His approval rating among Republican politicians was probably 10%. That’s about the proportion we saw publicly supporting him. The leadership of the Republican Party is clearly and wildly out of step with its voters. Of course this manifested as widespread sabotage of populist and nationalist candidates by their “own party”.
What we are seeing now is the considerable downside that comes with refusing to start a third party. Would doing such a thing all but guarantee defeat in the short term? Yes - but how would that differ from what’s happening now? We knowingly went to war with traitors everywhere. How could we win?
I have no idea what the actual approval was. I'm still fine with the Mises Caucus taking over the NH Libertarian Party, so that's what a genuine political third party looks like. But, as is the point, you kinda have to take over a full state to make the point. I think the MAGA movement has that in a few states, like Florida, Ohio, and Texas.
What all of this shows to me is that getting your guy into a keystone position of power isn't enough without significant structural support or sympathy. We just gotta keep beatin' up the ground game at the local level.
I think Harmeet Dhillon is who Zeldin is talking about as new leadership.
Also no need to get this blackpilled.
2024 is not going to end up that terrible for the GOP overall.
The 2024 Senate map is heavily favorable to Republicans. There are three Senate seat pickup opportunities in third solid red states with good election integrity measures: West Virginia, Ohio and Montana.
Governor Jim Justice might be running for Senate in WV and he will be heavily favored against Manchin in a presidential year.
Ohio in a presidential year makes it feasible to beat Sherrod Brown with a good candidate like Frank LaRose.
As long as they don't nominate Zinke in Montana, Tester is definitely beatable. I think Knudsen their state AG might be the best pick here.
So was 2022. The question is whether or not the Republican Party is prepared to kill itself, rather than tolerate populists, and I think the answer is yes. The remaining question is whether or not the populists will counter both betrayal and fraud in the 2 short years we will have for it.