he would only win if the polls were as wide of the mark as they were during the first round.

Oh good, I was worried for a second that he might be in trouble!

Being more serious: I realize it would still probably be hard to pull off, but I do think it is much more likely than people think. Polls have been rendered entirely corrupt, and seem to be missing entire swaths of the population (whether deliberate or not is up to speculation). And all it is doing is giving the Left false confidence while making the Right fight like hell. So I guess I have to thank them for that at least.