Russia is winning by sufficiently low standards and losing by sufficiently high standards.
In theory, you can spin a peace deal which is a repeat of Minsk as a victory for Russia, and a Ukrainian rump state in Galicia as a defeat "because Ukraine survived as a state".
Depends what you define as 'winning'.
Russia is winning by sufficiently low standards and losing by sufficiently high standards.
In theory, you can spin a peace deal which is a repeat of Minsk as a victory for Russia, and a Ukrainian rump state in Galicia as a defeat "because Ukraine survived as a state".