Survey on the Mar-a-Lago Raid points to some gains with independent voters
(www.thetrafalgargroup.org)
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Rasmussen, July 2022:
Somewhat/very likely mail-in voting will lead to more cheating:
58% total; 80% conservative, 51% moderate, 55% not sure, 25% liberal
Somewhat/very likely 2020 result due to cheating:
52% total; 80% conservative, 48% moderate, 47% not sure, 14% liberal
Somewhat/very likely 2022 will have widespread cheating:
51% total; 73% conservative, 38% moderate, 51% not sure, 19% liberal
Independents are roughly split on whether Democrats did or did not steal the election - but these are not equal propositions! Stealing the election is waaay worse than not doing so, which is just you know the neutral position, so any kind of overreach will play much more to those who believe in the steal. Some of them are not totally convinced, but then they see Democrats acting just like people who would steal an election would act.
I feel like almost everybody agrees cheating is pretty much the worst thing there is in an election. Even democrats have to pretend they didn't cheat because that would make them bad people. So there should be a huge number of independents that generally just vote on their gut or for whom they like best, but this time are going in to vote and saying "I kinda like that democrat guy, but they cheated". By all rights 2022 will be a political bloodbath like we've never seen before.
And what's worse for Democrats, these numbers are despite constant media propaganda about the "most secure election ever" and probably reluctance to actually say it out loud.