https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Kansas_Value_Them_Both_Amendment
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I do not believe that most Republicans agree with banning abortion altogether. Even though the Amendment didn't ban abortion, I think the Kansas voters saw it in those terms. The Amendment lost because all of the Left voted against it, while the Right was split. It was not a "party line" vote.
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I think the move by a number of Republican legislatures to enact total bans on abortion is bad politics that will cost the Right votes. I happen to support abortion, but only because it strongly reduces crime and other social ills. However, I think the bulk of the Right wants to see highly restricted abortion only allowed for 8-12 weeks or so, as opposed to a complete ban. So by moving aggressively with bans, the R legislatures are over-correcting and pushing a greater degree of restriction than even a lot of Republicans/conservatives agree with.
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I do not agree with the prevailing Democrat talking point that the Kansas vote signals a blue backlash against Roe being overturned. I don't think Republicans are going to change their vote in the general election over abortion, however, I do think enacting total bans will cause some drag/backlash whereas the legislatures that have capped abortions at 8-15 weeks somewhere will not see backlash as those restrictions have broad support.
I think that still would have faced an uphill battle. Like I said, a lot of people locally are indeed not pleased with the current limit of 22 weeks for abortion, but equally no one really favors a full ban. If there had been a ballet question saying that the limit was reduced from 22 weeks to, say, 16 weeks? Now THAT probably could have gotten some traction.
I still dont think it will. If you actually look at what people in said battleground states care about, their number one concerns are economic, not abortion related. The only people who care about abortion are already partisan, and already voting. All of the data in the aftermath of Roe being overturned showed that already, and nothing has changed so far.
If a swing state was holding an election, the votes for such a ban will probably cancel each other out, and the Swing voters will be saying "I literally do not give a shit. Who is going to fix the economy?"