The activation of your voters, especially at this level where you can get many tens of millions of reliable partisan voters, is far more important than the disinterested majority, most of whom don't even vote. That's just generically true.
Now, I'm not saying that Independent Voters don't matter, but these are a very small voting block. And that's really the whole point here:
Most elections are going to have the vast majority of the votes coming from partisans. If you have 100 million people who vote for you, 85 million of that is coming from partisans. The remaining 15 million is coming from the small number of 30 total million "independents". That is true for both sides. What this means is that if enthusiasm is low for particular partisans, your block of 85 million partisans could collapse to a block of 60 million partisans, and even if you win every single independent voter, you'll have lost the election. This is why the dems harp on trying to make sure Leftists vote Neo-Liberal in order to "stave off Fascism" and make arguments about "electibility". 3rd Party Leftist votes have destroyed them, particularly in 2016. It's also why they harp on racialism to their balkanized racial-political blocs. If less than 85% of black voters voted Dem, they'd lose every national election.
This is why the increasing registration for Republicans is such an important number, those are increasing partisans, which means that you can win the election with less independent support.
For Trump's case, there's really no evidence that he's "toxic" to independent voters. The thing about independents is that they are pretty indecisive. In 2020, independents leaned towards him. But even if we simply assert that they leaned against him, there's no evidence that they were strongly against him. It's rare that independents strongly disfavor anyone. That's why Biden's numbers are utterly terrifying. Independents strongly disfavor Biden. That's outlier and a major problem for the Democrats.
They can try to demonize Ron DeSantis all they want, it won't work nearly as well on him as it did on Trump.
That's a fools claim. The magnitude of the one-sided coverage is exactly why it's effective. The media still holds power over those very normies you think Trump is toxic too, and they are absolutely going to be swayed in the exact same way that Trump had to deal with.
Yes, 100%, DeSantis is going to be declared a Nazi, and people will attack you for supporting him. Every single academic, economic, financial, political, regulatory, and entertainment institution in the US is going to unanimously agree that his a serial killing, nazi, pedophile; and it's been confirmed by science.
You are going to have to argue with your left-wing friends and family that there is no evidence that Ron DeSantis raped and ate a gay baby, because that's how the media works, and that's how people who listen to them work.
Trump falls for the media bait every time and his personal life failings helps confirms media lies about him in the minds of normies.
You've got that relationship backwards, chief. Almost the entirety of his presidency was incident after incident of Trump baiting the media to bite on silly shit that made them look crazy. Frankly, I think part of the censorship efforts was just to stop the media from reporting on Trump's every move. This was a rabid complaint by the Left about the Media.
This was actually one of the reasons I started supporting Trump. I listened to NPR one day, and the host of the show called "On The Media" (a media watchdog show) very explicitly stated that the coverage that Donald Trump was getting from the media was helping his campaign. He repeatedly advocated to the media to stop covering Trump so relentlessly. Because they failed, he declared that On The Media had an obligation to abandon objective journalism to "stop a despot".
I was very angry that a show that existed to ostensibly focus on media accountability, and had even criticized the media's cozy relationship with Obama and the politicization of the White House Press Correspondents Dinner, had now abandoned all of that to engage in an act of open partisanship, where they stand to this day.
I think your love of Trump blinds you from the current dismal chances he has. I voted for him twice and I am moving on
You voted for Trump more than I did. You sound like a Leftist infiltrator trying to start a Walkaway campaign on the right to promote a damaging primary battle with a man who isn't stupid enough to challenge Trump and risk Florida.
The activation of your voters, especially at this level where you can get many tens of millions of reliable partisan voters, is far more important than the disinterested majority, most of whom don't even vote. That's just generically true.
Now, I'm not saying that Independent Voters don't matter, but these are a very small voting block. And that's really the whole point here:
Most elections are going to have the vast majority of the votes coming from partisans. If you have 100 million people who vote for you, 85 million of that is coming from partisans. The remaining 15 million is coming from the small number of 30 total million "independents". That is true for both sides. What this means is that if enthusiasm is low for particular partisans, your block of 85 million partisans could collapse to a block of 60 million partisans, and even if you win every single independent voter, you'll have lost the election. This is why the dems harp on trying to make sure Leftists vote Neo-Liberal in order to "stave off Fascism" and make arguments about "electibility". 3rd Party Leftist votes have destroyed them, particularly in 2016. It's also why they harp on racialism to their balkanized racial-political blocs. If less than 85% of black voters voted Dem, they'd lose every national election.
This is why the increasing registration for Republicans is such an important number, those are increasing partisans, which means that you can win the election with less independent support.
For Trump's case, there's really no evidence that he's "toxic" to independent voters. The thing about independents is that they are pretty indecisive. In 2020, independents leaned towards him. But even if we simply assert that they leaned against him, there's no evidence that they were strongly against him. It's rare that independents strongly disfavor anyone. That's why Biden's numbers are utterly terrifying. Independents strongly disfavor Biden. That's outlier and a major problem for the Democrats.
That's a fools claim. The magnitude of the one-sided coverage is exactly why it's effective. The media still holds power over those very normies you think Trump is toxic too, and they are absolutely going to be swayed in the exact same way that Trump had to deal with.
Yes, 100%, DeSantis is going to be declared a Nazi, and people will attack you for supporting him. Every single academic, economic, financial, political, regulatory, and entertainment institution in the US is going to unanimously agree that his a serial killing, nazi, pedophile; and it's been confirmed by science.
You are going to have to argue with your left-wing friends and family that there is no evidence that Ron DeSantis raped and ate a gay baby, because that's how the media works, and that's how people who listen to them work.
You've got that relationship backwards, chief. Almost the entirety of his presidency was incident after incident of Trump baiting the media to bite on silly shit that made them look crazy. Frankly, I think part of the censorship efforts was just to stop the media from reporting on Trump's every move. This was a rabid complaint by the Left about the Media.
This was actually one of the reasons I started supporting Trump. I listened to NPR one day, and the host of the show called "On The Media" (a media watchdog show) very explicitly stated that the coverage that Donald Trump was getting from the media was helping his campaign. He repeatedly advocated to the media to stop covering Trump so relentlessly. Because they failed, he declared that On The Media had an obligation to abandon objective journalism to "stop a despot".
I was very angry that a show that existed to ostensibly focus on media accountability, and had even criticized the media's cozy relationship with Obama and the politicization of the White House Press Correspondents Dinner, had now abandoned all of that to engage in an act of open partisanship, where they stand to this day.
You voted for Trump more than I did. You sound like a Leftist infiltrator trying to start a Walkaway campaign on the right to promote a damaging primary battle with a man who isn't stupid enough to challenge Trump and risk Florida.