I am not an American, so don't have a clear picture of how the situation is over there (does sound bad), or how likely it actually is for something like a Civil War to break out, but I am hearing about it a lot from all sorts of people.
On the other hand, nothing of the sort seems to be happening, even though the US is supposedly being destroyed, stolen elections, inflation, tensions everywhere, left and right seemingly incapable of coexisting anymore, immigrant invasion, LGBT shit everywhere, people's kids groomed everywhere, and so on.
If all this is not enough, then what will it take? How would it happen? Who would fight with whom?
Based on the fact that nothing has happened so far with all of the above, and more, it sounds like nothing will ever happen.
I would say imminent civil war was very unlikely, except for how frequently I hear it talked about from both sides.
There's something about the average member of the public that just seems like if they're told to do something often enough, no matter how stupid and self-destructive, they can't help but join in.
The biggest non-starter is "do a civil war" isn't very clear instruction for your average numbnuts, and the ones musing on specific actions, like say assassinating a SCJ, haven't been quite loud and long enough to reach the right number of idiots yet.