Ukraine has a huge mobilization reserve that it needs a few weeks to train and employ. Somewhere north of an additional 150,000 to 200,000 troops. Not unlike if Israel employed General Mobilization.
That's why they are going with full mobilization right now. There's no time to lose, and wasting time semi-mobilizing when you got caught having already only partly mobilized when Belarus invaded... means you need to take back the initiative. Ukraine and Russia are in a precarious situation right now. Russia now needs time to fully deploy all available forces to start taking towns. If they don't properly encircle Ukranian cities, the Ukranian forces could successfully break out. The longer this goes on, the more Ukranian reinforcements are going to arrive as a fucking horde. But if Ukranian forces in the east just stall instead of surrender, that manpower advantage is going to be a huge problem for the Russians trying to avoid inflicting major casualties. However, it's quite likely that if this war does go on longer, Ukraine still loses as the Russians deploy more standard and violent tactics.
It's good that Zelinski signaled he could make a deal (despite the State Department's ridiculous statements), the war being short actually benefits Russia and Ukraine, but neither want to come off looking weak. Neither want the devastation a long war would entail. The only people who benefit from that are the Chinese and Fabians.
And it has been extremely weird to me to see hardcore ethno-nat types going all rootless cosmopolitan when it comes to Ukraine ("just surrender and stop fighting, and if you dont like the Russians just leave")
Dude, the NatSoc's brains are broken by this war. Russia's the "good guy", even though Putin's literally pledging to exterminate Ukranian National Socialists, even though the UNS's are supported by a "Zionist Occupied Government" of Ukraine because Zelinski is a jew, supported by a jewish oligarch, and the 2014 revolution involved Soros, therefore Israel is supporting UNS's... even though Israel has officially refused to condemn the Russian invasion.
I don't think they can see outside the American racial constructs at this point. I don't think they get that UNS's are nationalistic for Ukrainans, not Russians. They aren't Capital W "White" collectivists. They are Ukranian Collectivists.
I'm actually starting to wonder if they are broken because they are being fed controlled opposition narratives from Feds.
Which is why you continue to see absolute rando's yoinking Russian military equipment.
I don't know how much of it is true, but I agree that Russia may have underestimated the support against them for an invasion. Zelinski isn't necessarily popular (as he previously was), but that doesn't mean that western Ukrainians would tolerate a Russian-Belarusian invasion force.
That last part, the fact that Belarus just said "fuck it we're coming to" has got to have pissed some Ukranians off.
Ukraine has a huge mobilization reserve that it needs a few weeks to train and employ. Somewhere north of an additional 150,000 to 200,000 troops. Not unlike if Israel employed General Mobilization.
That's why they are going with full mobilization right now. There's no time to lose, and wasting time semi-mobilizing when you got caught having already only partly mobilized when Belarus invaded... means you need to take back the initiative. Ukraine and Russia are in a precarious situation right now. Russia now needs time to fully deploy all available forces to start taking towns. If they don't properly encircle Ukranian cities, the Ukranian forces could successfully break out. The longer this goes on, the more Ukranian reinforcements are going to arrive as a fucking horde. But if Ukranian forces in the east just stall instead of surrender, that manpower advantage is going to be a huge problem for the Russians trying to avoid inflicting major casualties. However, it's quite likely that if this war does go on longer, Ukraine still loses as the Russians deploy more standard and violent tactics.
It's good that Zelinski signaled he could make a deal (despite the State Department's ridiculous statements), the war being short actually benefits Russia and Ukraine, but neither want to come off looking weak. Neither want the devastation a long war would entail. The only people who benefit from that are the Chinese and Fabians.
Dude, the NatSoc's brains are broken by this war. Russia's the "good guy", even though Putin's literally pledging to exterminate Ukranian National Socialists, even though the UNS's are supported by a "Zionist Occupied Government" of Ukraine because Zelinski is a jew, supported by a jewish oligarch, and the 2014 revolution involved Soros, therefore Israel is supporting UNS's... even though Israel has officially refused to condemn the Russian invasion.
I don't think they can see outside the American racial constructs at this point. I don't think they get that UNS's are nationalistic for Ukrainans, not Russians. They aren't Capital W "White" collectivists. They are Ukranian Collectivists.
I'm actually starting to wonder if they are broken because they are being fed controlled opposition narratives from Feds.
I don't know how much of it is true, but I agree that Russia may have underestimated the support against them for an invasion. Zelinski isn't necessarily popular (as he previously was), but that doesn't mean that western Ukrainians would tolerate a Russian-Belarusian invasion force.
That last part, the fact that Belarus just said "fuck it we're coming to" has got to have pissed some Ukranians off.