They make moves already, Taiwan will be gone soon
(twitter.com)
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Doubtful. It's saber-rattling. Same with the constant scramble of the airforces, same with the provoking in the South China Sea. Taiwan is in a good position where if China does try any shit they have 2 strategic assets
The fact that Taiwan has also stepped up local arm production to not rely anymore on American arms-deals goes to show the shift in focus of everyone relying on America and instead needing to fend for themselves. Taiwan has friends, they have to pretend it doesn't exist though for it to exist.
Biden has also been surprising solid on Taiwan, as well as a lot of trade leaving China for other nations (not entirely Biden’s doing, a lot of companies are leaving because they are sick of having their shit stolen). And I know Bannon has been making the same point about chips and saying it may be the thing that would actually make the elite put up a fight.
Additionally, Xi has started to crack down on foreign investment due to pressure from the more traditionally Communist wing of the party, and it’s actually starting to get the attention of investors like Bloomberg, to the point they are finally starting to say “Hey, wait a minute. Maybe it isnt such a good idea to invest in China.”
We have also started seeing a lout of countries moving from the China to USA camp, if for no other reason than “You may be in the grip of retardation right now, but there is at least a chance you will change back. And China is clearly evil.”
And this is before we get into the fact that there is a fair amount of evidence to suggest the Chinese military is a paper tiger using old Soviet tricks to make themselves look tougher than they actually are.
"Additionally, Xi has started to crack down on foreign investment due to pressure from the more traditionally Communist wing of the party, and it’s actually starting to get the attention of investors like Bloomberg, to the point they are finally starting to say “Hey, wait a minute. Maybe it isnt such a good idea to invest in China.”
THIS is what's most likely to fuck China the most. The old guard commies wanting to be Maoist lite and pushing Ping to do it.
At least from what I have heard, a lot of manufactures are starting to leave China now. A consequence of the population bomb that China is currently going through (due to their One-Child Policy blowing up in their face) is that Chinese labor is no longer as cheap as it used to be. So now you have companies, who were already sick and tired of having their IP stolen and then sold back to them for pennies, looking for new nations to build out into. I have seen it with my own job, where a lot of the clothing we sell has gone from "Made in China" to "Made in Guatemala", "Made in El Salvador", and I have seen some of our new shoes with "Made in Vietnam".
I also remember Walmart saying they were going to move a lot of their production to India. And since Walmart is the largest importer in the country, a lot of smaller companies will piggyback on their trade routes because its cheaper that way.
I really do think a lot of what we are seeing go down with China is them being at the end of their rope and starring down a "Collapse of the Soviet Union" tier event, and they are scrambling to make it stop.
Don't think it'll got full Soviet collapse but it'll hurt them, probably bring them back to where they were after the tienamen square massacre and if we're REALLY lucky they'll start having the full Soviet in a few years or so. They're sneaky as fuck too, they label things made in other countries and have them shipped through allies like Pakistan and Cambodia to the open market or just stick them straight on Amazon, Ebay and Etsy without middleman and labeled as either Hong Kong or not disclosed unless you look at the city it's shipping from AFTER the purchase which is always a mainland city, specifically Beijing, Guangzhou and Shenzhen being the usual spots.....Not to mention the popularity of Wish and Alibaba.