I am not denying that the Taiwanese military is garbage. I am saying that the Chinese military, after you look past their face, aint much better. You have officers who are in charge through corruption or party loyalty, which is the sort of situation that lead to the Soviets getting spanked on by the equally underequipped and outdated Finnish military.

You have Chinese soldiers who dont believe in their own abilities, but hide it out of fear. I remember a post made on the Chinese Twitter equivalent, where they were all getting hyped up and talking about the glory of taking over Taiwan. Then on soldier got the nerve to pipe up and say something to the effect of "While I dont doubt we would do it, is it possible we have a little more time to train? you know, just to be sure." Que the overall commander of the Chinese military coming in to tell him "If you ever say anything like that to disrupt morale again, I will ensure you are in the first wave with the commandos attacking the bunkers, and if you show any cowardice I will shoot you myself." Because history shows that forced soldiers do spectacular jobs in warfare and totally dont cut and run the first opportunity they see.

There is also far more will to win against China than anything to do with Afghanistan. And that applies to a lot of the nations in the region, who woke up REAL fast when Hong Kong got steam rolled. The Kiwis will be a thorn in the side because they seem to still be backing China, and the Philippines is in a stalemate (Duterte is Pro-China, but most of the government and population is Pro-US). But Australia just kicked the Chinese out and took back a lot of their shit, Japan is talking about taking up the sword and reembracing Bushido, the S. Koreans are looking at carriers and going "Where can we get one of those?", and India is ready to go screaming over the mountains to dish out of revenge on China. This wont be a nearly one-sided affair like Afghanistan was.

Maybe I am wrong. Maybe Taiwan is Kill. But I am not so blackpilled on the situation, and I think that it is still a war we can win. It just that now there may BE a war when we could have avoided it before.