Say there's a disease, call it the pangolin flu. It's infectious enough that everyone's going to be exposed. If you catch it, there's a 50% chance you'll die. However, there's a vaccine. 90% of the people who take the vaccine won't be infected. Let's say that there are 10 unvaccinated people. 10 x 0.5 = 5 deaths. Say there 1,000 vaccinated people. 1,000 x 0.1 x 0.5 = 50. So, even though the rate of death is higher among the unvaccinated, there are so few of them that they are outnumbered by the vaccinated deaths.
Sure, but I'm just trying to show that there can be situations where the vaccine is effective and more of the people who die of the disease are vaccinated. Based on the comments, there seem to be some who haven't thought of what I just described.
I get what they're saying.
Say there's a disease, call it the pangolin flu. It's infectious enough that everyone's going to be exposed. If you catch it, there's a 50% chance you'll die. However, there's a vaccine. 90% of the people who take the vaccine won't be infected. Let's say that there are 10 unvaccinated people. 10 x 0.5 = 5 deaths. Say there 1,000 vaccinated people. 1,000 x 0.1 x 0.5 = 50. So, even though the rate of death is higher among the unvaccinated, there are so few of them that they are outnumbered by the vaccinated deaths.
I mean sure, the math checks out if you make up numbers to make it work.
The problem with these stories is that they never provide enough numbers to make meaningful comparisons.
Sure, but I'm just trying to show that there can be situations where the vaccine is effective and more of the people who die of the disease are vaccinated. Based on the comments, there seem to be some who haven't thought of what I just described.