Okay, I think I figured out what happened. I don't have the full numbers yet, but looking at the exit polls, I was right to focus on non-college whites so much. I didn't think he would lose them... and he didn't.
However, white voters accounted for almost the entirety of all third party votes.
If my suspicions are anywhere in the ballpark, there should probably have been 12 million more white voters in 2020 from 2016. Trump gained about 6 million more white voters than he did in 2016... but Biden might have gained 10 million more white voters. That would be around 6 or so from the new white voters, and 4 from 3rd party voters who decided to go back to the establishment.
I suspected that the establishment had power, but this really shows just how much power they have over the Left. The Dems let the Leftists burn cities to make sure they voted for Biden, rather than confront their violence... and they did. A lot of Leftists who hated Hillary and the Democratic establishment went back to the establishment because Orange Man Bad.
This is gonna be a much longer war than I thought.
Oh, and if my math is right Trump will lose the popular vote, but win the electoral vote (again), but he'll have lost Wisconsin. These candidates are absolutely right not to stop counting votes, because we're probably looking at 75 million to 72 million Biden-Trump, with Trump still winning.
Okay, I think I figured out what happened. I don't have the full numbers yet, but looking at the exit polls, I was right to focus on non-college whites so much. I didn't think he would lose them... and he didn't.
However, white voters accounted for almost the entirety of all third party votes.
If my suspicions are anywhere in the ballpark, there should probably have been 12 million more white voters in 2020 from 2016. Trump gained about 6 million more white voters than he did in 2016... but Biden might have gained 10 million more white voters. That would be around 6 or so from the new white voters, and 4 from 3rd party voters who decided to go back to the establishment.
I suspected that the establishment had power, but this really shows just how much power they have over the Left. The Dems let the Leftists burn cities to make sure they voted for Biden, rather than confront their violence... and they did. A lot of Leftists who hated Hillary and the Democratic establishment went back to the establishment because Orange Man Bad.
This is gonna be a much longer war than I thought.
Oh, and if my math is right Trump will lose the popular vote, but win the electoral vote (again), but he'll have lost Wisconsin. These candidates are absolutely right not to stop counting votes, because we're probably looking at 75 million to 72 million Biden-Trump, with Trump still winning.