From his official Facebook page:
“Our hearts are broken to announce that the incomparable Meat Loaf passed away tonight surrounded by his wife Deborah, daughters Pearl and Amanda, and close friends,” the family wrote. “We know how much he meant to so many of you and we truly appreciate all of the love and support as we move through this time of grief in losing such an inspiring artist and beautiful man. We thank you for your understanding of our need for privacy at this time.”
^ Mind the screams. "Dan Andrews, that's on your fuckin' hand, you dog."
This was inevitable.
When tyranny and oppression becomes so unbearably stifling to a population (and protest, speech, and government choice are no longer an option) they will begin to lash out.
This is one of the many ways they may chose to do that, regardless of legal implications.
The Australian government has made it repeatedly clear that the lives of less than fully vaccinated people who have failed to properly register are enemies of the state and it's glorious revolution. They are to be savagely punished until they comply or die. This person, unsurprisingly, chose death. This includes the Internment Camps that I have heard idiot Australians attempting to defend. This includes significant amounts of police violence and harassment. This includes personal violence and harassment. This includes the removal of all available economic activity.
This man, correctly, understood that the law serves no purpose in Australia. The state has made a friend-enemy distinction between it's loyalists and dissenters. As Cicero notes, the law falls silent in times of war. As Clausewitz notes, this is because the law does not apply to your enemy, because the law is a moral force, and they are outside of your moral framework. This is why the statement: "They want you broke, they want you homeless, they want your wife dead, your children raped, and they think it's funny." rings so true. That is how you treat a sworn enemy who is outside your moral framework. The Australian state is at war with it's people, and that is why the law fell silent, and that is why this man chose death.
He will not be the last.
To the slaves and the villeins of petty tyrants: this is your fault. In fact, this is what you wanted. You may celebrate his death at your earliest convenience, you may even write a song about it and post it to TikTok. But please spare the rest of us your lecture about how good of a person you are. You are abominable creatures who have chosen, at every opportunity, an illusion of safety for the real sacrifice of Liberty. You did this under the guise of safety, but your only true reason was the opportunity to exert power over others. Unfortunately for you, this will continue to get worse: that is also your fault.
Yes, you are the baddies.
If you haven't figured that out from the smell of burning flesh yet, then I don't know what else to tell you.
Whether they be White Communists or Black National Socialists, the scum of the Earth are happy to vote on school boards, mayors, councilmen, court clerks, treasures, etc. All so that they and they cronyist friends can enshrine and institutionalize their Leftist agenda so that you can see you broke, homeless, your wife dead, and your children raped because they think it's funny.
The problem with non-presidential election years is that the pinkos are too lazy to stop cooooming pornhub videos on the their Nintendo Switch's long enough to remember to vote. But that doesn't mean all of them will. The normies don't remember it either, so this is the time when the fucking lunatic Tankies can crawl out of the wood work and win an election 150 to 140.
Don't be a Useful Idiot. Use this weekend to research your candidates. Go down to the Board Of Elections and find out who the candidates are and who is endorsing them. Listen to their rhetoric and see if they're based. Try to avoid RINO's where you can too, an (R) doesn't mean shit.
If you hear "Equality, Inclusion, Diversity, Tolerance, Experts" fuck that shit.
I already listened to a local school board candidate talk about how Science is "revolving". As opposed to another who said "The constitution maximizes choice". Guess which one got the vote? Hint: "trust the I fucking love revolving Science" ain't it.
Remember, in Kentucky, it was the kiddie-fucker degenerate mayor / principal (and all his best friends) that gave himself a lap-dance with a boy on tax-payer dime. In Virginia, the Loudon County school board covered up a rape to protect the collective honor and reputation of tranny-faggot sex communist rapists. That's why it's important. We can't do shit about AOC and her Communist friends from where we sit, because as much as she's a loon, we can only stop the cancer where we are.
Don't give me any black pills about "hurr durr election integrity", obviously the Cathedral can steal elections, but you should also know that the elections were defrauded in specific counties, not all of them. More than likely, you don't live in one of those. It costs way too much money to destroy a local elections in year that isn't even a midterm.
Vote and deny the Communists an angle of attack.
So, I think it's clear we need to take offensive & direct action in the Culture War against the filthy fucking pinkos. But, obviously, due to our size and distribution, we have little to no impact on most things politically.
However, I believe I've stated before that I would like to see if we can use our limited power and resources to build a community inside gaming to battle Leftist infiltration, subversion, and conquest.
I think that there's a lot of hype being pushed around Halo: Infinite. It may be that the game will attract a lot of old and new players.
I propose we start a Halo Clan within Infinite when it becomes available. Not simply as a community building exercise, or for entertainment; but also as a method to provide an unencumbered space to allow young people and other gamers to express dissenting political opinions, anti-Leftist narratives, and politically incorrect language.
Look, we know that Leftists are after the children. Just ask u/TentElephant. They do this because they can't reproduce, and people become more right-leaning as they age, get out of school, and actually save money. We need to build a space for the Zoomers to hear something other than the constant dripfeed of Communist buzzwords about Diversity, Inclusion, and Equity. Yes, the Zoomers are probably mostly going to be center-left cucks who've been raised to think about their white privilege; but that's exactly the point: we need to provide a buffer for these kids.
A lot of these kids are going to engage in video games as escapism. Particularly as escapism from the fucking madness of the Leftist public education they're getting, the Communist subversion from TikTok, and 100% of their entertainment. We should provide a gated community for that escapism to exist without Leftist bullshit.
I think we should start some sort of Halo Clan which regularly plays the game online, maybe start some sort of non-discord voice chat server, and keep track of our clans accomplishments both here and in whatever form Microsoft creates to make a Social Media sharing platform for Halo social groups.
Most of us have probably played Halo before and are fine enough to play recreationally. The point here is for both recruitment, and as subversion of the general Leftist milieu that a lot of these gamers and young people are going to be steeped in.
What say you?
Wort Wort Wort
Gaetz came on Tucker Carlson and attempted to get in front of the allegations, and claimed that a specific DOJ employee had been attempting to extort him. And implied that the DOJ and FBI may have leaked the investigation to the NYT in order to bury the investigation.
Relatively quickly, team Blue reacted by trying to embarrass him in regards to the interview:
For those of you who don't remember it (Christ, you might actually be too young), Six Days in Fallujah was going to be a realistic shooter set in the Battle of Fallujah. The game itself was announced in 2009, approximately 5 years after what we now call The Second Battle of Fallujah, and also about 5 years from would be around the war's approximate end.
The game was originally going to be developed and published by US Marines who had fought in the Battle itself. The purpose of the game was to be a decent tactical modern military shooter, but also to be a vehicle for telling the stories of the Marines on the ground who had actually fought in the battle.
Back in 2009 I was well aware of this game, and I said that video games as a way of bringing the stories of real people to life would likely be a real concept that could be done going forward. It may not be exactly "With The Old Breed", but for servicemen who grew up playing video games, this might be one of the best ways to really explain what it's like.
As I slowly age, I realize more and more as a veteran now, that these stories that are the most important moments of your life will be lost to time and will only exist as distant memories that only you, your brothers, and your enemies, will ever truly understand or even remember. The most intense moment of your life will be at an intersection that didn't have a name, and no one could recognize today.
I feel like after Medal Of Honor: Warfighter was released, and one of the Special Forces operators negatively sanctioned for releasing classified information to the game developers in order to develop a level (I think it was a literal Black Op mission in the streets of Pakistan that was never supposed to be known about), I've always felt that video games as a story telling medium for real events would be something that has a provable creative demand.
However, Six Days was canceled, and I've been surprised to see that people are not mentioning why it was canceled.
Simply put, Fox News, along with the Corporate Media Establishment (and possibly with what I suspect were elements of the US government not wanting to have any potential embarrassment for a war that had not been going well) created a moral outrage about the game. Fox News did a hit piece on the developers and accused them of trying to dishonor and trivialize the the lives of the soldiers and Marines who were killed in the battle... despite the fact that the game was explicitly being developed with veterans of the battle to tell their stories. And despite the fact that the developers did not want to make the game explicitly political.
11 years later, and the developers are trying to republish the game, and IGN... who originally made passive attempts at reporting on the game and defending it, seem to be aiming to do what Fox News did a decade ago.
Six Days in Fallujah is the most concrete evidence I can imagine of how full circle the Culture War has come. I consider it a vindication of my choices so far.
Tribute to Samuel Paty, fight against Islamism
Based French Education Minister rails against Islamo-Leftism: "No one has a right to cowardice"
Original Article: https://www.lejdd.fr/Politique/hommage-a-samuel-paty-lutte-contre-lislamisme-blanquer-precise-au-jdd-ses-mesures-pour-la-rentree-scolaire-4000971
Lotuseaters Podcast feature: https://www.bitchute.com/video/TBFIulLxfj4/
The Last 3 answers are genuinely fucking based
Tribute to Samuel Paty, fight against Islamism: Blanquer specifies to the JDD his measures for the start of the school year
After the assassination of Samuel Paty, Jean-Michel Blanquer, Minister of National Education, believes that "no one has the right to cowardice".
What message do you send to traumatized teachers?
A message of empathy, solidarity, cohesion and unity. The minimum that we owe to Samuel Paty is about being up to the job. The Republic gives us our rights, in particular freedom of expression. Today, the Republic needs us.
You had instituted procedures against "attacks on secularism" ...
Yes. They were not designed to face terrorism, but to resolve the problem of daily attacks on secularism. We have set up a council of elders of secularism which has drawn up the reference rules for National Education. This was essential in order to deal with the cases facing the staff with clarity. At the same time, we created “values of the Republic” teams, in autumn 2017, in all the rectorates to collect reports, support the teams and find solutions in the field.
After Samuel Paty's class, there was "a desire to create scandal"
Were these procedures followed in Conflans-Sainte-Honorine?
This system and the people who drive it have been there day after day for Samuel Paty. Initially, this affair is of low intensity, starting from the course of Mr. Paty and the misunderstanding which is tied with some parents of pupils who think that their children were excluded from the course because they are Muslims. The professor was immediately supported by his principal, who called on the “values of the Republic” academic teams. The questions raised are clarified, the parents, appeased, and the principle of freedom of expression, reinforced.
What happened then?
There is a second step, which clearly stems from a desire to create scandal and to be in a violent position on the part of another father. His daughter, who was excluded for two days for other reasons, was not in Mr. Paty's class, but her father tries to make it appear that this exclusion is related to this class. This is a series of lies. This father comes to college with the militant Islamist Abdelhakim Sefrioui, whose principal does not know who he is. A video is broadcast and a complaint filed by this father. The deputy school inspector then has a discussion with Mr. Paty, a week before the murder : they are in complete agreement and believe that this aggressiveness e represents an unacceptable threat vis - à-vis the teacher and the school, although she did not go so far as to threaten death. Hence the joint decision to file a complaint. This will be done by the principal herself, with Mr. Paty, at the police station from Tuesday, October 13.
Towards a "clear and precise framework to leave no teacher in the dark"
The liability shall does - it not the intelligence services?
There is no evidence to suggest it. It's always easier to rewrite history afterwards. I seized the General Inspectorate of National Education : it will make its report early next week, the conclusions of which will be entered in the judicial file.
What will be the response of the National Education?
The trade unions unanimously asked me for a clear and precise framework so as not to leave any teacher in the dark. We are going to build this framework together for the first day of the school year, but also over time, in the sense of strengthening the values of the Republic, secularism and the protection of personnel.
At primary school too, "there will be a teaching time"
How will the start of the school year go?
In three stages. A first step will allow the adults of the establishment to prepare, which will slightly delay the start of the school year. A second, educational phase, with the students, will make it possible to reaffirm the principles of the school and of the Republic. A third phase, more collective, in compliance with sanitary instructions, will bring together students, teachers and school partners in the playground for a minute of silence, then the reading of the "letter to teachers" , by Jean Jaurès.
This device does worth - it for school?
At primary school too, there will be a teaching time. We will clarify this after consulting the representative organizations. In elementary school, there will be a minute of silence. And a time of exchange with the pupils with a framework given to the teachers. For kindergarten, it is obvious that we must be very tactful with the little ones, to whom we must not talk about such violence. But we must be able to provide answers to the questions they may ask. In kindergarten, there will not be a minute of silence but a quiet time.
He wants to find "this iron rule : parents do not mix up pedagogy"
According to teachers, their hierarchy does not want to make waves ...
"No waves" is a phrase I fought from my first day in the ministry. This change in doctrine is very clear. There is still some way to go for it to be fully accomplished, but we have turned the tables. Actors were invited to report all issues related to secularism and violence. We have created a platform that allows every staff member to report a breach. We have made a commitment to respond within 24 hours. And it works. No one should feel alone anymore.
How to fight against a tendency of teachers to self-censorship?
I am not saying that these phenomena do not exist : there is a psychological dimension, fears… I am well aware that we have lost a lot of ground over the years . But I hope that this drama will allow a collective awareness. Sometimes the problem also comes from families. We must therefore rediscover this iron rule : parents are not involved in pedagogy. And any aggression by a parent must be followed by a reaction from the institution.
Should Charlie's cartoons be in textbooks?
Respect pedagogical and editorial freedom. We must not censor ourselves. It would be putting your finger in the fatal cycle of intimidation. But everyone must understand that the cartoons of Muhammad do not represent an obsession on our part to make fun of Muhammad! This is the misunderstanding that we must dispel with a part of the Muslim world which, in good faith, thinks that there is a will to aggression. The aggression comes rather from characters who stir up violence by giving false interpretations of what is done and said in France.
For Blanquer, "Mélenchon is a republican day and the next Islamo-leftist"
You castigated "Islamo-leftism" which "is wreaking havoc on the university" : who are you targeting?
No one has the right to cowardice anymore. There is a fight to be waged against an intellectual matrix coming from American universities and intersectional theses, which want to essentialize communities and identities, at the antipodes of our republican model which, for its part, postulates equality between human beings, independently of their characteristics of origin, sex, religion. It is the breeding ground for a fragmentation of our society and a vision of the world which converges with the interests of the Islamists. This reality has plagued a significant part of the French social sciences in particular, I challenge anyone to tell me the opposite. Some do it consciously, others are useful idiots for this cause. But I never meant to say that all universities and their presidents were accomplices : they are mostly the victims. This can also be seen in the media world, where a man like Edwy Plenel methodically deploys a strategy of conquering minds whose spring is collective self-hatred.
You are also aiming for LFI. Why?
Certain political structures are grafted on this matrix by demagogy, by cynicism, because they seek in Muslims a substitute for their lost voters. Jean-Luc Mélenchon is one republican day and the next Islamo-leftist! He crossed the yellow line on the day of his participation in a demonstration "against Islamophobia" in which some participants compared the condition of a Muslim in France to that of a Jew under the Occupation ... It is a paradox enormous history to see the French far left, for the first time, turn its back on the ideals of the French Revolution for the benefit of a world view closer to that of the United States and in the service of the darkest obscurantism . M. Mélenchon wants to be in history. But it is for this treason that it will appear there. What is needed today, in reverse of these phenomena, is the renewal of a republican consciousness, at the heart of French society and political life. It is this energy in the service of freedom that we must pass on to future generations.
So, I was watching a bit of Viva Frei last night, and Robert Barnes basically came to that conclusion, and this comes from his argument.
If I can reduce his argument down a bit to an easily readable form, it appears to Barnes that Powell may have been the target/victim of a disinformation campaign directed against her and her staff. Instead of focusing her limited time and resources on smaller tangible issues that would get her successes in court, she's fallen down a rabbit hole of looking into who has financial relationships with whom, claiming that the Governor is actually anti-Trump due to his connections, claiming that California may have been won by Trump, claiming that Dominion swung not thousands, or even hundreds of thousands, but many millions of votes. Fundamentally, a bunch of stuff that turns into a gish gallop that Barnes thinks doesn't work in court generally, and is likely to damage the case. It's also why she seems to have been pulled back a bit by the Trump team.
Barnes argues that what the establishment tends to do, particularly the intel agencies, is bombard people with disinformation campaigns to distract them from the primary direction of investigation. This is typically because they can't actually stop the leaking of information, or because the information has already been lost and they want to re-direct investigations away from successful strategies. He cites disinformation campaigns used in relationship to Snowden.
I tend to agree with his assessment in this, from two perspectives. One: how normies react badly to lesser known information with conspiracy thinking, and two: how disinformation campaigns were used against "UFOlogists".
One: most normies and boomers are unaware of the level of corruption and black-ops level activities that the government engages in around the world. They are not aware of cyber-attack operations. They are not aware of assassinations. They are not aware that we negotiate with terrorists. They are not aware that we absolutely rig elections. They don't even really know that Radio Free Europe is literally an American propaganda outlet funded through congress. When they start to see some of this, without really understanding how it really works, they tend to resort to conspiracy-level thinking. They think that the government, because it has these programs, must have near unlimited power and ability, brainwashing millions. As Powell herself said, "It's like drinking from a fire-hose". They don't remember that most of the MK-Ultra experiments didn't work. That the military rejected the Gay Bomb project multiple times because it was ridiculous. That when the CIA used cat-bombs, they got run over by cars. That despite desperate efforts for over a decade, the intelligence agencies repeatedly failed to assassinate Fidel Castro, Saddam Hussein, and Muammar Qaddafi. Yes, they do weird shit, not it has a failure rate, and no not everything is true. Yes, we landed on the moon. Yes, the 9/11 highjackers did crash planes into the twin towers. Yes, JFK was assassinated by Lee Harvey Oswald. Yes, there were WMD's in Iraq... we sold it to them. You don't need a grand conspiracy, when you can just exploit an opportunity. The Gulf Of Tonkin incident didn't need fake Vietnamese boats and soldiers, just an unclear radar image and an excuse. While I'm sure that Powell was being spoon-fed some valid information, I think she was being spoon-fed information that someone knew would distract her from the important legal arguments. I think the "Kraken" is a ruse.
Two: One of our military intelligence agencies used a similar disinformation strategy to such an absurd degree that their target within the UFO-research community committed suicide. I've long maintained that I believe the UFO investigative community is being actively monitored by military intelligence, because a bunch of civilians with excellent cameras keep sneaking up to the outskirts of secret US military research bases (and in one incident a bio/chem-weapon factory) and taking pictures of their shit. They probably don't like that, and want to make sure that nothing important gets out. I can't remember the man's name, but basically, he had been researching UFO's for years and he got pictures of something very interesting that he though was a UFO. According to statements he made to family, friends, and other hobbyists, someone from the military actually contacted him about the picture. They basically sold him on a giant story: aliens were real, but this wasn't an alien spacecraft. It was actually a small remote controlled spy plane that the military had developed using alien technology. According to the researcher, Men-In-Black style military personnel actually met with him, and then flew him out by helicopter to an actual crash site, where there was a "real" alien probe crash. They basically 'recruited' him to report on all the other crashes and sightings that he found so they could let him know whether it was their secret military aircraft, or possible alien activity that could be a sign of something, maybe the aliens were going to invade or reveal themselves!
If you know anything about aliens, science, physics, or intel agencies, you can probably guess that the dude was basically be recruited by a clever sales pitch to give information to the intel agencies, so that they would be aware of what pictures were being shared of what equipment. They created an informant. Now, to make a long story short, the disinfo campaign started to go completely off the rails. The dude spiraled very badly hurling himself into investigating alien phenomenon and sightings. He seemed to actually develop a genuine mental illness (which can absolutely be related to really rabid paranoid conspiracy thinking). He said he was getting calls from strange people in the middle of the night. IIRC, he did start talking about bizarre shit like voices in his head, alien shape shifters, and all sorts of extravagant stuff. Some people in the UFO community think that the Disinfo Campaign killed him. I suspect that the DIA probably recruited someone who already had a mental illness, and then didn't know what to do once he started showing signs that he was genuinely sick, so they kicked him to the curb and let him spiral so they didn't get in trouble.
I feel like something similar might have happened to Sidney Powell. Someone didn't like the work they were doing, so instead of trying to censor everything, they flooded her with a bit of good, but relatively unprovable information, that starts to involve a patently useless narrative like a scheme to change votes in Germany and that Trump won in California. I think it's absolutely clear we are in the middle of an information war, and Trump's enemy's in the establishment are open to harassing lawyers and intimidating witnesses. I don't think it would be crazy to think that someone clever tried spoon feeding Trump attorneys disinformation to throw them off, considering how time sensitive this the latter stages of this campaign are. It doesn't even have to be the intel agencies, it could easily be Dominion themselves, or just mid level political activists.
Figures
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Table 1 - Raw Votes & Voters 1980 - 2016
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Table 2 - Exit Poll Percentages 1980 - 2016
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Figure 1-A - Votes by Margin in Popular Vote 2012
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Figure 1-B - Votes by Margin in Popular Vote 2016
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Figure 2 - Charts By Gender Breakdown
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Figure 3 - Charts by Demographic Breakdown
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Figure 3-7 - Demographic Breakdown by Calculated Vote Totals 1980 - 2016
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Figure 4 - 538 Swing-o-Matic Default Results
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Figure 5 - 538 Swing-o-Matic Actual % Results for 2016
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Figure 6 - MSNBC Swing The Election - Data
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Figure 7 - MSNBC Swing The Election - Chart
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Figure 8 - 538 Swing-o-Matic 2020 potential
So, having talked about it for about two years (or more), here is my Electioneering post, on why the Democrats have misunderstood their own understanding of the demographic breakdown of their own voters, and how their own statistics are fooling themselves, particularly in regards to white voters.
I've put the history of how I decided to look into this back in 2016 in the comments, along with why Trump's win in 2016 validated the Electoral College
Studying 2016
After discovering that the Democratic narrative about Trump's win in 2016 was wrong by the evidence of margins of votes, I decided to take a look at how the exit polls could tell me what happened.
In 2016, 538 released an app called the Swing-O-Matic which allowed you to play with the turnout and partisan lean for 5 demographics: Black, Asian/Other, Hispanic, White College Educated, White Non-College Educated. You can see from Fig 4 just how far off the Default results were using the 2012 data. I decided that I would try to play with the Swing-O-Matic's sliders until I got to the actual results of 2016. For each demographic, even for the collapse in black turnout which the pollsters said was hugely significant to the outcome, the result really didn't change. Hillary should have still won by a significant margin. Only a one or two states flipped. However, when I adjusted the sliders on the White Non-College Educated demographic, over half-a-dozen states flipped blue to red.
Suddenly, it was wildly clear, by Fig 5, what the hell happened. White non-college educated voters were absolutely decisive to winning Trump's election. All this crap about white women not voting Democrat, black voters not turning out, and Jill Stien was just horse shit. That didn't matter. Even if Trump won 50% of the Black vote in 2016, he still would have lost the election. White. Votes. Matter.
So... how the hell couldn't the Democrats have seen this?
I listened to some astonishing things in 2016. I listened to NPR announcers be audibly shocked that white men were the only demographic to have a decreasing life expectancy, as if they'd never considered that a possibility before. I listened as, over the past 2 years, I had heard that white people were not just making up fewer and fewer Americans, but that the actual percentage of the population seemed to be wildly changing. Supposedly the white population was decreasing, this was somehow a good thing, and that states that were too "old and white" like mine weren't going to matter in elections going forward. Again, NPR. I even heard claims that the whites in America made up as low as 53% of the population.
But that's wrong. They make up 73% of the population. The Leftists are sniffing their own farts about race.
So, I decided to tear apart all the results I could of the exit polls. I needed to see the raw vote totals instead of just what one percentage or another was each year. I decided that I could calculate something akin to the original raw vote totals from each demographic by party, through taking the total number of raw votes, finding the corresponding vote numbers for each demographic according to the exit polls, and then find each party's raw votes in each demographic by the split of each of those votes. I could do this all the way back to 1980, which was when I first found demographic exit poll breakdown. You can see these calculations in Tables 1, 2, and 3 above.
Something jumped out at me immediately. White votes absolutely fucking dwarf every other demographic. Not by a little either, but by everything. Donald Trump, damn near won the whole election on white votes alone, and that re-enforced my original point. But more than that, the Democrats basically haven't been able to reliably break 36 million white votes. And there's 98 million white voters out there. They need damn near 70 million votes to win anything!
Looking at Fig 3-7, you can see the serious problem that Democrats have with white voters. They need vast amounts of non-white voters to make up the lack of white votes. They need as many as they can get. Black votes are especially dire. They need significant & absolute majorities of every non-white demographic, and damn near the entirety of all Black turnout. All of it. Whites only made up 55% of all Democratic votes in 2016. Let me repeat that. They only managed half of 73% of the country. That is a fucking disaster. The Democrats are rabid race-baiters... because it's all they can do to win at all.
Looking at Fig 3, the historical breakdown is fairly stark. Please note the collapse in white voters for Republicans in 1992. We'll be talking about Ross Perot very soon. But 2 things to note in the historical demographic break down are: a) Donald Trump had some of the largest numbers of non-white votes in Republican party history (not-racist confirmed), b) the change in 2016 in demographic numbers is very significant. Hillary lost nearly a million black voters. That is a bad loss that would have been a serious set back in every election. But this time, the fact that Trump gained 1.3 million white voters on top of that Democratic loss is the thing that blows everything else out of the water. The scattershot placement of those white voters is a ton of different states is what gave him the win.
Understanding 2020
Knowing what we know now, all I can say is that the Democratic situation is even more absolutely dire. Trump is absolutely have significant gains in Black, Asian, and Hispanic votes without question. Hispanic Catholics and Anti-Socialists will be turning out. Disaffected blacks, pro-masculine blacks, and blacks that have benefited from stronger immigration controls are going to push Trump probably past 15% of the Black vote. Asians who have been explicitly targeted by Democratic racial laws, are anti-China, and have seen the US improve relations with South Korea, India, and Japan are all going to be happy to support Trump. On top of that, Cop Kamalla and Crime Bill Biden will probably collapse black support even further for the Democrats. But none of that actually matters.
Take a look back at Table 3. Remember Ross Perot? Look at the split in 1992 in total white votes compared to both Dem & Rep white vote totals. That's a lot of white voters voting for an eccentric billionaire, running against a corporate establishment, and focuses heavily on fixing NAFTA. Gee, fucking remind you of anyone? Well, that's not the only thing. Due to their sheer size, white voters can swing by millions at a time. Even small percentage changes lead to many millions moving about. But white voters swung by 5 million votes or more 5/10 times since 1980. No other demographic even comes close to that. The depth in numbers that white voters will wing is pretty substantial too. Look at 2000-2008. 5 million gain. 8 million gain. 3 million gain. Whites can seemingly pour out of the woodwork.
Several groups have claimed that they expect over 150 million voters this year. That basically guarantees that there will be more than 100 million white voters for the first time in American history. A lot more than 100 million. Look at Table 3 again. 150 million voters would be an increase of 12 million voters from 2016. Do you really expect that to come from almost entirely blacks and hispanics? I don't think so. I think the number of hispanic voters might fall given the fact that immigration control has improved, and during times of economic hardship, the US undergoes an outflow of migrants. For blacks, you have a lot of Black National Socialists calling for revolution regardless of who wins. It is far more likely in my mind that blacks will have smaller turnout than in 2016, and so will hispanics. I'm willing to bet that we're looking at significant white turnout. Especially given the anti-white Black National Socialist rhetoric in their schools, jobs, and entertainment. Let's not forget that the Left has apparently abandoned the midwest, working class whites.
I think that we are looking at 8 to 12 million white voters... and I'm not sure that the Democrats are even get a third of that. They might even lose white votes. Let's split the difference between 8-12 and call it 10 million more white voters.... Literally no one is ready for 10 million more white voters.
Hey.
Hey.
Wanna see a whitelash?
That Swing-O-Matic from 538 has a decedent. MSNBC calls it the Swing-The-Vote, but it's basically the same thing. If we adjust for the 12 million more white voters that I expect, and 15 million total black and hispanic voters (which would be steady for hispanics and a loss for blacks), and we swing non-college educated white voters to the right a bit. We get percentages that look like Fig 6, note that even a swing of 12 million white voters, still shows only whites with 73% of the total vote, which would be very deceptive to anyone looking at only the relative measurements because it would be a 1-point increase in the vote share. But, like 2016, the effects are dramatic. For the map, see Fig 7 Minnesota is apparently in play if the Biden campaign's actions are anything to go on... but no one has said shit about the others. Virginia is supposed to be confirmed for Biden. Nevada is still supposed to be confirmed for Biden. Maine isn't up for discussion, nor is New Mexico. The Democrats are pretending that Ohio and Texas are in play... they've entirely lost the plot. They simply do not seem to recognize the disaster that is befalling them. Florida stays, Ohio stays, Pennsylvania stays, Michigan stays, Wisconson stays, Texas stays. And then states they aren't even prepared for are up for grabs.
Unfortunately, MSNBC doesn't give us any information on how close the individual states are. The 538 Swing-O-Matic can do that for us. The demographic information is out of date, so it's prediction off of my results are more in favor of Trump but it does tell us the states that are absolutely neck and neck... and it's all bad. Really bad. Washington, Oregon, New Jersey, Maine, Connecticut, Delaware, even Illinois.
The point to take away here is that Minnesota is a swing state, not Ohio. Not Texas. The battleground states are places the Democrats aren't even looking at. And the states that could surprise people, are ones they aren't even imagining are in danger. Oregon, Virginia, New Hampshire, Maine, Washington, New Jersey... Illinois? It's similar to the same fatal mistake that Clinton made. They were sure Ohio was the swing state. But it was Wisconsin, it was Pennsylvania. And now it's going to be even worse, because these demographic calculators don't tell you anything about how the people on the ground are effected by the riots. If Oregon flips, the political shock-wave will be devastating.
Get your fucking popcorn boys.
Electoral Majority of >350, and an indisputable popular vote win.
Questions
But Gizortnik, how will we know if "it's happening"?
Watch New Hampshire. Trump lost New Hampshire by a smaller vote margin than your local school levy. He lost by 2,736 votes. If the white vote swings hard for Trump, New Hampshire should be a solid win.
But Gizortnik, every good hypothesis should be falsifiable. What would make yours wrong?
I'd have to be completely wrong about white people. It would have to be massive minority voter turn in a scale that would be enormous. Bigger black turnout for Obama in 2008, bigger hispanic turnout than for Bush in 2000. That, and white people would have to just be dissolutioned with Trump, and a whole bunch would be going for Biden. ... I'd have to be fundamentally wrong about literally everything I just said.
But I don't see how that's possible. It must be my lying fucking eyes again. I live in a "swing state" according to the Democrats. But I also live in a red county with a majority white population. On Saturday and Sunday, when the building is closed, the Board of Elections parking lot is filled with people hand delivering early votes to a secure box. Do you know how long the early voting line was 2 weeks ago on a Wednesday? A half hour. A Trump convoy passed by my house for a second time today.
If I'm wrong, it is because I'm living in a bubble the size of my fucking county.
And Historically Speaking, platform to platform, Trump-Biden looks a lot like what happened with Nixon-McGovern and Reagan-Mondale.
In the Crowder's interview with Elijah Schaffer, Elijah was mentioning in a burned out parking lot that it was the DNC, and that the actual Democratic HQ for Kenosha was boarded up, except for a kind of Vote Biden sign.
How about this:
Go to local Democratic HQ places and get advertising and lawn signs for Biden. Then, if any of you live near places that have rioting and violence, take strategically placed pictures of these signs.
A pristine "Ridin' With Biden" sign in a burned out car-lot might be a useful visual meme.
It's like "Islam is Right About Women", but even more subtle.
