Who will win (really)?
Who will win (declared)?
How big will the victory be?
How confident are you of this outcome?
When will we know the outcome?
Plus an optional motivation.
Who will win (really)?
Who will win (declared)?
How big will the victory be?
How confident are you of this outcome?
When will we know the outcome?
Plus an optional motivation.
Probably Trump
Probably Kamala
10-100 votes over the mandatory recount limit for battleground states that have them, for other battleground states it will be 10-100 votes over exactly 51% for kamala
even odds w.r.t. the counts over limits
Jan 20th.
The dems arrange their cheating to just barely exceed the mandatory recount limits to try and get their fraud certified before any real repub opposition occurs. The repubs let them.
Also it's wishful thinking to believe that any state with a significant hispanic population is gonna go Trump. Arizona will never be a republican state again. Demographics is destiny. Georgia is gonna fraud all the way to dem, again. Pennsylvania is a yankee state so it will go dem.
This is also a good time to remind everyone of the probability of a streak of a given length. An approximation is E=Nqp^k, where E is the "probability", N is the number of trials, or in this case votes, q is the complement of the individual probability (1-p), p is the probability of an individual trial, and k is the streak length in question. For example in a city of 1,000,000, the probability of 100 votes in a row being cast for a given candidate using p=q=0.5 is 1 in 4 x 10^25. It will never happen, at least not without fradulent manipulation.
What's the difference between Pennsylvania and Ohio? The Ohio River is the dividing like between Yankeedom right? I can't say I know exactly where it runs, but given that they are neighbors...
As for Hispanics, Trump improved massively in 2020 over 2016, despite doing much to appeal to blacks and doing next to nothing to appeal to Hispanics.
How do you figure out the sequence of votes?
You normally can't. But 3 am ballot dumps occur, and curiously enough they only contain democrat ballots.