there's 65 white people in a hypothetical situation. Out of those, 5 commit violent
crime.
There's 13 black people in the same group. Out of those, 4 commit murder.
Which group is more violent? To have an equal comparison, whites would have to murder 20 people. Can you see that?
This example is not perfectly representative of reality, the math would have to be harder to do that. But the total number in this group is pretty close to real life, and represents the idea of per capita. 65 is 5x more than 13, so the group of 65 would have to commit 5x more murder to be equal. (per person / per capita)
His example was kind of confusing, since you'd want the money, but not to get shot. So it's kind of reversed.
So take his example, but imagine it's a bad outcome. Perhaps you have to pay the amount of money under the cup. The majority (98 red cups) have more overall money penalties, but spread out among more cups. A tiny minority (2 green cups) have less overall penalties, but it's a lot more concentrated. Assuming you averaged everything out, picking a green minority cup you'd have to pay $50, picking a red majority cup you'd have to pay $2...despite the red majority having twice as much penalties overall.
Look at it this way:.
there's 65 white people in a hypothetical situation. Out of those, 5 commit violent crime.
There's 13 black people in the same group. Out of those, 4 commit murder.
Which group is more violent? To have an equal comparison, whites would have to murder 20 people. Can you see that?
This example is not perfectly representative of reality, the math would have to be harder to do that. But the total number in this group is pretty close to real life, and represents the idea of per capita. 65 is 5x more than 13, so the group of 65 would have to commit 5x more murder to be equal. (per person / per capita)
His example was kind of confusing, since you'd want the money, but not to get shot. So it's kind of reversed.
So take his example, but imagine it's a bad outcome. Perhaps you have to pay the amount of money under the cup. The majority (98 red cups) have more overall money penalties, but spread out among more cups. A tiny minority (2 green cups) have less overall penalties, but it's a lot more concentrated. Assuming you averaged everything out, picking a green minority cup you'd have to pay $50, picking a red majority cup you'd have to pay $2...despite the red majority having twice as much penalties overall.