He'll be probably ransomed or swapped, at most, tho
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Has there been any sign he's alive since he went "missing"? I don't think ransom is the most likely outcome with prolonged radio silence, more likely some local radicals already decapitated him to prove themselves.
They confirmed yesterday they indeed hold him (and 2 other Britons). If he was dead and they didn't want it on themselves, they could just blame the Islamic State, maybe even after killing some of them.