U. North Carolina ‘Global Whiteness’ course blames U.S. for conflict against Japan in WWII
(www.thecollegefix.com)
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Like today, I'm sure they had a lot of intel that pointed to an imminent Japanese attack, but either chose to ignore it, or didn't take that threat seriously.
Obviously FDR took advantage of the situation afterwards to push the war he had been preparing for. However, to say that he knew definitively that Pearl was going to be attacked is like saying that the State Dept and DHS know definitively that the US is going to be attackrd out of the probably thousands of terror threats that the US gets daily.
Occam's Razor suggests that one slipped through and they didn't let a good crisis go to waste.
Correct. There was strong evidence they may attack, and it was pretty much confirmed when they found out the Japanese fleet was on the move. But almost NO ONE thought Pearl was going to be attacked. Other than a few intel people who thought “it seems logical, but maybe a long shot”, pretty much everyone thought the attack would be against the Philippines.