Even if you don't believe polls, betting markets are putting Trump at 35% chance, where people are willing to put their money where their mouths are.
Trump may well win, but a lot of you are being set up for some pretty rough disappointment.
As painful as it is, visit places like reddit and r/politics, etc. and see what their sources are saying, otherwise you'll never have a complete picture.
Pretty sure his chances were crap on the betting markets last time too. Not particularly indicative of anything if you ask me. Nonetheless you are correct in that this election is far from "in the bag" for President Trump, especially with the rampant fraud and cheating for Biden that has occurred and is likely to occur.