The consensus here (which I largely agree with) is that polls are about manipulating public opinion instead of reflecting it. In 2016 they used polls to try to convince us of the inevitability of Killary's victory, which backfired big time. In 2020 they cranked that strategy up to 11, and combined with industrial scale voter fraud they managed to install the dementia ridden pedophile that's sitting in the White House right now. In both cases the game was to show the Dem consistently ahead of Trump so the intended steal had plausible deniability. This time around is different. Trump's polls are consistently better than they were in 2016 or 2020. Yes they're conveniently behind Kumswala's, but if they were employing the same strategy they did the last 2 times they would be showing him at least as far behind as they did in 2020. Clearly they're playing a different game this time around. I think they're scared shitless of a red wave overwhelming their fraud machine, so they're trying to create complacency in Trump voters and scare their own base into turning out so their dirty tricks can put them over the top again. But that's just my guess. I'm curious what everyone here thinks.
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I’d trust the betting markets more, since they presumably price in the potential for fraud / general fuckery. I also don’t trust the pollsters to be above board, nor do I trust them to be not totally mathematically retarded.