Wrong.
OTP, I'm disappointed in you for your narrow thinking today. Usually you're on point.
Here's what's going to go down. The democrats have no control over the monster they created. The sensationalized shootings are not going to stop. The only way to stop the social media machine that's feeding the anti-cop frenzy is to go after social media itself and the Democrats won't do that, not meaningfully.
There are cities in the US that have lost 20% or more of their police force. That's going to continue to get worse.
Now, the Democrats have gotten an easy set of choices over the last thirty years. They've been able to cast the elections as a series of binary choices largely over a handful of zero compromise wedge issues (abortion, gay marriage, guns, and oilwar despite their hypocrisy on oilwar). That there are many voters who are broadly supportive of most of the republican platform, but on one or several of those issues are obliged to vote democrat because not one step back.
But when the binary choice becomes "have abortion rights or have a police force", that's not such a straightforward choice. It's the one issue that truly can knock abortion off its pedestal as the wedge issue of all wedge issues, and it's one that puts the democrats at a significant disadvantage.
The likelihood of the Democrats doing anything meaningful to stop the anti-police craze is essentially zero. They'll take bad losses in 2022, hideously bad, but that won't be enough to stop them, and it won't be enough to stop the police flight from blue cities (which will still be blue).
So by the time we get to 2024, those cities will not be so blue. People who swore years or decades ago to never support a republican, will vote republican to shut down the bullshit on the streets.
Wrong.
OTP, I'm disappointed in you for your narrow thinking today. Usually you're on point.
Here's what's going to go down. The democrats have no control over the monster they created. The sensationalized shootings are not going to stop. The only way to stop the social media machine that's feeding the anti-cop frenzy is to go after social media itself and the Democrats won't do that, not meaningfully.
There are cities in the US that have lost 20% or more of their police force. That's going to continue to get worse.
Now, the Democrats have gotten an easy set of choices over the last thirty years. They've been able to cast the elections as a series of binary choices largely over abortion.
But when the binary choice becomes "have abortion rights or have a police force", that's not such a straightforward choice. It's the one issue that truly can knock abortion off its pedestal as the wedge issue of all wedge issues, and it's one that puts the democrats at a significant disadvantage.
The likelihood of the Democrats doing anything meaningful to stop the anti-police craze is essentially zero. They'll take bad losses in 2022, hideously bad, but that won't be enough to stop them, and it won't be enough to stop the police flight from blue cities (which will still be blue).
So by the time we get to 2024, those cities will not be so blue. People who swore years or decades ago to never support a republican, will vote republican to shut down the bullshit on the streets.
Wrong.
OTP, I'm disappointed in you for your narrow thinking today. Usually you're on point.
Here's what's going to go down. The democrats have no control over the monster they created. The sensationalized shootings are not going to stop. It's grown beyond the democrats ability to stop the social media machine that's feeding the anti-cop frenzy.
There are cities in the US that have lost 20% or more of their police force. That's going to continue to get worse.
Now, the Democrats have gotten an easy set of choices over the last thirty years. They've been able to cast the elections as a series of binary choices largely over abortion.
But when the binary choice becomes "have abortion rights or have a police force", that's not such a straightforward choice. It's the one issue that truly can knock abortion off its pedestal as the wedge issue of all wedge issues, and it's one that puts the democrats at a significant disadvantage.
The likelihood of the Democrats doing anything meaningful to stop the anti-police craze is essentially zero. They'll take bad losses in 2022, hideously bad, but that won't be enough to stop them, and it won't be enough to stop the police flight from blue cities (which will still be blue).
So by the time we get to 2024, those cities will not be so blue. People who swore years or decades ago to never support a republican, will vote republican to shut down the bullshit on the streets.