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Reason: None provided.

He believed that and was wrong, sure, but that wasn’t uniquely his brand of crazy, that was a hell of a lot of people that thought—incorrectly, but not entirely without reason—that the covid vaccine was going to do that.

I disagree. Aside from one retard who claimed that the death rate would be 100%, no one had such high estimates. Not only that, this came after most of the world had already been vaccinated.

It's also extremely unlikely. I told Imp at the time that even a 3% death rate would lead to revolutions and firing squads for the ruling classes. I'm very pessimistic (and how can you not be living under the yoke of the globalist elites), but I do know that if you kill 3% of people's friends, relatives, brothers, sisters, parents... that you will not get away with it. Hence there is quite a strong incentive to avoid it. They do not care about killing 3% of their population, but for the fact that it would have negative consequences for themselves.

Not to mention what it looks like when your thesis is “this guy is insane and says wackadoo shit all the time,” but you seemingly can’t find an example from within the past few months.

This was the most absurd one. He hasn't made similar whoppers. He's a bit more careful with his predictions, because he realized that I was challenging him to make predictions which would then prove wrong. Which is good! I don't go around making out there predictions because I'd be easily proven wrong. And even when I do: I say "I could be wrong".

(BTW, I do appreciate this intelligent challenge.)

2 years ago
1 score
Reason: Original

He believed that and was wrong, sure, but that wasn’t uniquely his brand of crazy, that was a hell of a lot of people that thought—incorrectly, but not entirely without reason—that the covid vaccine was going to do that.

I disagree. Aside from one retard who claimed that the death rate would be 100%, no one had such high estimates. Not only that, this came after most of the world had already been vaccinated.

It's also extremely unlikely. I told Imp at the time that even a 3% death rate would lead to revolutions and firing squads for the ruling classes. I'm very pessimistic (and how can you not be living under the yoke of the globalist elites), but I do know that if you kill 3% of people's friends, relatives, brothers, sisters, parents... that you will not get away with it. Hence there is quite a strong incentive to avoid it. They do not care about killing 3% of their population, but for the fact that it would have negative consequences for themselves.

Not to mention what it looks like when your thesis is “this guy is insane and says wackadoo shit all the time,” but you seemingly can’t find an example from within the past few months.

This was the most absurd one. He hasn't made similar whoppers. He's a bit more careful with his predictions, because he realized that I was challenging him to make predictions which would then prove wrong. Which is good! I don't go around making out there predictions because I'd be easily proven wrong. And even when I do: I say "I could be wrong".

2 years ago
1 score