Good.

Supply chain collapse, and or extended down comms

Realistically this won't happen without a collapse of the energy economy. Oh, we can have shortages, or complete runouts. But the system keeps churning as long as people can get food, which is predicated on energy. Fuel to move food around, and electricity to keep it cold (and/or make it hot). If people can't buy clothes, widgets, or shit from ikea, modernity doesn't end, people just go without shit they probably didn't need anyway.

Loss of communications is itself not sufficient to trigger a total failure of energy and food distribution. Because those systems operate partly on MOMENTUM, whether bureaucratic or mechanical. Piggly Wiggly opened decades before they had computers in every store and they did fine. Hell, the store I worked in as a kid only had a proper actual computer to track video rentals. Whenever we got a truck, we gave the driver our (on paper) order for the next shipment. Literally sneakernet.

Now, as for your point about a biological attack... unlikely to happen. Explaining WHY it's unlikely to happen would require going into pages about R0. Oh, you can make deadly biological agents. But they generally have to be deployed in the same fashion as chemicals. They're paradoxically TOO lethal to actually spread in the wild. LIke, literally, a virus that deadly is not likely to be that transmissible.

You could pick up a handful of dirt and there are deadlier viruses in your hand then man could think up. But they're too deadly to be effectively weaponized on a large scale, you have to keep manufacturing it, it's R0 in the wild will simply be too low.

Spanish flu is the sweet spot. You really can't expect more from a readily transmissible virus. There are deadlier, they don't spread anywhere near as fast or easily. There are faster spreading, they aren't as deadly. It's a biological balancing act.

Good.

Supply chain collapse, and or extended down comms

Realistically this won't happen without a collapse of the energy economy. Oh, we can have shortages, or complete runouts. But the system keeps churning as long as people can get food, which is predicated on energy. Fuel to move food around, and electricity to keep it cold (and/or make it hot). If people can't buy clothes, widgets, or shit from ikea, modernity doesn't end, people just go without shit they probably didn't need anyway.

Loss of communications is itself not sufficient to trigger a total failure of energy and food distribution. Because those systems operate partly on MOMENTUM, whether bureaucratic or mechanical. Piggly Wiggly opened decades before they had computers in every store and they did fine. Hell, the store I worked in as a kid only had a proper actual computer to track video rentals. Whenever we got a truck, we gave the driver our (on paper) order for the next shipment. Literally sneakernet.

Now, as for your point about a biological attack... unlikely to happen. Explaining WHY it's unlikely to happen would require going into pages about R0. Oh, you can make deadly biological agents. But they generally have to be deployed in the same fashion as chemicals. They're paradoxically TOO lethal to actually spread in the wild. LIke, literally, a virus that deadly is not likely to be that transmissible.

You could pick up a handful of dirt and there are deadlier viruses in your hand then man could think up. But they're too deadly to be effectively weaponized on a large scale, you have to keep manufacturing it, it's R0 in the wild will simply be too low.

Spanish flu is the sweet spot. You really can't expect more from a readily transmissible virus. There are deadlier, they don't spread as fast. There are faster spreading, they aren't as deadly. It's a biological balancing act.

Good.

Supply chain collapse, and or extended down comms

Realistically this won't happen without a collapse of the energy economy. Oh, we can have shortages, or complete runouts. But the system keeps churning as long as people can get food, which is predicated on energy. Fuel to move food around, and electricity to keep it cold (and/or make it hot). If people can't buy clothes, widgets, or shit from ikea, modernity doesn't end, people just go without shit they probably didn't need anyway.

Loss of communications is itself not sufficient to trigger a total failure of energy and food distribution. Because those systems operate partly on MOMENTUM, whether bureaucratic or mechanical. Piggly Wiggly opened decades before they had computers in every store and they did fine. Hell, the store I worked in as a kid only had a proper actual computer to track video rentals. Whenever we got a truck, we gave the driver our (on paper) order for the next shipment. Literally sneakernet.

Now, as for your point about a biological attack... unlikely to happen. Explaining WHY it's unlikely to happen would require going into pages about R0. Oh, you can make deadly biological agents. But they generally have to be deployed in the same fashion as chemicals. They're paradoxically TOO lethal to actually spread in the wild. LIke, literally, a virus that deadly is not likely to be that transmissible.

You could pick up a handful of dirt and there are deadlier viruses in your hand then man could think up. But they're too deadly to be effectively weaponized on a large scale, you have to keep manufacturing it, it's R0 in the wild will simply be too low.

Spanish flu is the sweet spot. You really can't expect more from a readily transmissible virus.

Good.

Supply chain collapse, and or extended down comms

Realistically this won't happen without a collapse of the energy economy. Oh, we can have shortages, or complete runouts. But the system keeps churning as long as people can get food, which is predicated on energy. Fuel to move food around, and electricity to keep it cold (and/or make it hot). If people can't buy clothes, widgets, or shit from ikea, modernity doesn't end, people just go without shit they probably didn't need anyway.

Loss of communications is itself not sufficient to trigger a total failure of energy and food distribution. Because those systems operate partly on MOMENTUM, whether bureaucratic or mechanical. Piggly Wiggly opened decades before they had computers in every store and they did fine. Hell, the store I worked in as a kid only had a proper actual computer to track video rentals. Whenever we got a truck, we gave the driver our (on paper) order for the next shipment. Literally sneakernet.

Now, as for your point about a biological attack... unlikely to happen. Explaining WHY it's unlikely to happen would require going into pages about R0. Oh, you can make deadly biological agents. But they generally have to be deployed in the same fashion as chemicals. They're paradoxically TOO lethal to actually spread in the wild. LIke, literally, a virus that deadly is not likely to be that transmissible.

You could pick up a handful of dirt and there are deadlier viruses in your hand then man could think up. But they're too deadly to be effectively weaponized on a large scale, you have to keep manufacturing it, it's R0 in the wild will simply be too low.

Good.

Supply chain collapse, and or extended down comms

Realistically this won't happen without a collapse of the energy economy. Oh, we can have shortages, or complete runouts. But the system keeps churning as long as people can get food, which is predicated on energy. Fuel to move food around, and electricity to keep it cold (and/or make it hot). If people can't buy clothes, widgets, or shit from ikea, modernity doesn't end, people just go without shit they probably didn't need anyway.

Loss of communications is itself not sufficient to trigger a total failure of energy and food distribution. Because those systems operate partly on MOMENTUM, whether bureaucratic or mechanical. Piggly Wiggly opened decades before they had computers in every store and they did fine. Hell, the store I worked in as a kid only had a proper actual computer to track video rentals. Whenever we got a truck, we gave the driver our (on paper) order for the next shipment. Literally sneakernet.

Now, as for your point about a biological attack... unlikely to happen. Explaining WHY it's unlikely to happen would require going into pages about R0. Oh, you can make deadly biological agents. But they generally have to be deployed in the same fashion as chemicals. They're paradoxically TOO lethal to actually spread in the wild. LIke, literally, a virus that deadly is not likely to be that transmissible.

Good.

Supply chain collapse, and or extended down comms

Realistically this won't happen without a collapse of the energy economy. Oh, we can have shortages, or complete runouts. But the system keeps churning as long as people can get food, which is predicated on energy. Fuel to move food around, and electricity to keep it cold (and/or make it hot). If people can't buy clothes, widgets, or shit from ikea, modernity doesn't end, people just go without shit they probably didn't need anyway.

Loss of communications is itself not sufficient to trigger a total failure of energy and food distribution. Because those systems operate partly on MOMENTUM, whether bureaucratic or mechanical. Piggly Wiggly opened decades before they had computers in every store and they did fine. Hell, the store I worked in as a kid only had a proper actual computer to track video rentals. Whenever we got a truck, we gave the driver our (on paper) order for the next shipment. LIterally sneakernet.