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Reason: None provided.

So, I'll preface this with that I'm wishy washy and can go doom-and-gloom to space puppies coming down and making first contact with humans. Some call it bi-polar, I call it Monday. I'll make a note that you are going to see a lot of things ahead in parenthesis. Think of them as personal comments.

Jokes aside, I think this can be accurate. Not sure if it is, since there will be obvious regional-state differences, demographics, and personal experience between the writer and myself. However, I think this touches on something important. Democrats may have finally overplayed their hand.

I want to point to this graph: https://imgur.com/a/egKh0tk

So, I understand to many that voter fraud is an intense issue. I want to pave over that for now, and just do a simple up-down analysis between parties, because while you and I know that it really doesn't matter which party is in power, it makes no difference to us. One just slightly sucks less than the other. However, those in the political game do care. Democrat partisans especially care, and even Republican partisans care a bit about power. So bear with the horse-race type attitude I'll adopt, there's a larger point at the end.

We've all got the vibe at one point or another that the democrats view themselves as the natural ruling power. They have the youth, minorities, unions, and now business voting blocks on their side. The coalition that (supposedly) beat Trump was able to generate (supposedly) large amounts of people to the voting booth. And while you and I question the full media narrative that I wrote above, one thing is clear (actual numbers being irrelevant) the democrats were able to bring a lot of resources to bear against Trump, and beat him in the end (somewhat). We've even moaned about the size of the democrat party here even. Like when we are referring to how the huge population centers in America trend left. However, while there is truth in that there may be more democrats than republicans just by sheer numbers, the above graph shows that recently the democrats have not been good about translating it to congressional and senate victories. There's a reason for that.

The democrats back in the 80s saw the California demographics and voting patterns and had a "come to Jesus moment". Following those two things, the democrats would be the unquestioned ruling party of the country in the near future, with Republicans (or whomever remains) playing permanent opposition status. Since adopting that strategy in earnest in the 90s forward, they haven't been able to maintain majority power in the legislative for more than one term.

In a word, democrats aren't doing as hot as everybody is letting on. There's trouble in paradise and there isn't much willpower to address it. That's because that's been some churn happening inside the democrat party and the political groups that drive it.

The majority of Republicans "law and order" voters are (were) from the business block. (Think of how businesses like stable, crime free places in order for them to thrive and grow). They are very demanding, and very flighty politically, but very very powerful. (Think of corporate support for blm rather than small business owners, who obviously got fucked by all sides and by everyone). The addition of (big) business to the democrat fold is going to alienate the populist left and hard left.

Already we see can see a mass disinterest in Biden from them, with increasing frustration that they aren't being heard by the new administration. This is happening the hardest to the populist left, who saw most of Biden's cabinet picks go to uninteresting corporate suits and most of their suggestions ignored, only gaining Pete Bootyegg (I have no clue how to spell his name and I don't want to search for it because all I'll get his dem spam across my internet, but it's the gay guy from Indiana) as the secretary of transport (Bullshit appointment on par with housing). The unions (blue collar only, white collar is a lot different) got the boot almost immediately, with only a near groveling "I wish he [Biden] didn't do that" when AFL- CIO union Pres Richard Trumka was asked on air about Biden's exec orders impacting his union. (The most damning thing about this is that it proved to the unions that they have no juice in this administration from day 1, quite the kick in the face).

Even the demographics argument is working against democrats, to a degree. Democrats feel in their bones that the latino's will drive them to victory over the Republicans. However, this again isn't exactly true. While recent Latino immigrants (legal and illegal) do trend blue, second generation Latinos and beyond do not. Dem's belief that Latinos want open borders and relaxed citizenship is only half true. They want that, but only for their family and no one elses, Latino or otherwise. Complicating calls for mass amnesty and border (in)security. Dem's belief in latino's wanting greater representation and acceptance is again, half true. They want the inclusion, they do not want to be referred to as Latinx and grouped together as if Florida Cubans are the same as South California Mexican. ("Latino" can refer to a large and very diverse amount of people, some of whom don't even speak spanish). Overall, the demographic argument isn't working as well as the democrats want it to. Especially with Trump being able to draw out one of the largest minority voting blocks for Republicans in a long time.

Democrats face a future in which any path they take, they are going to piss off some core group of voters of theirs. Dems go green, unions hurt. Dems go for students, angry single mothers get even more angry. Dems go more gay, the more they'll piss of the evangelical blacks. Anything they do will be wrong, nobody will be happy with any stance, and the strongest personality holding it all together is a man that can't go an interview with a young woman without asking if "she's a freshman" ( Heelllllooooooo nurse!!!!).

So how's this all going? Mass disillusionment in some cases, as documented by OP. Especially in the Populist left I feel. I think the hard left has gotten a little exasperated as well, as the Trump-hate wears down with time. Overall I think it'll translate with a huge drop in the voting rate for the midterms for both parties. (Voter fraud still being a concern however, so it might not be viewable). Republicans have a way forward, if they weren't caught up trying to shed the largest voter block in history (Populist Right).

I think most people recognize Trump is gone now. That's probably the worst part for the democrats. If they attack him further, it won't be as effective. If they ignore him completely, he may return. Both options aren't great for Dems.

Final notes: Dems could very well have over-extended themselves and as a result put themselves in a weak position. Despite their newly found power, no matter how they wield it, it'll piss someone off within their own. Expect high churn within the ruling party, and be prepared to pick up the exiles. They'll most likely be building us the path forward.

3 years ago
1 score
Reason: Original

So, I'll preface this with that I'm wishy washy and can go doom-and-gloom to space puppies coming down and making first contact with humans. Some call it bi-polar, I call it Monday. I'll make a note that you are going to see a lot of things ahead in parenthesis. Think of them as personal comments.

Jokes aside, I think this can be accurate. Not sure if it is, since there will be obvious regional-state differences, demographics, and personal experience between the writer and myself. However, I think this touches on something important. Democrats may have finally overplayed their hand.

I want to point to this graph: https://imgur.com/a/egKh0tk

So, I understand to many that voter fraud is an intense issue. I want to pave over that for now, and just do a simple up-down analysis between parties, because while you and I know that it really doesn't matter which party is in power, it makes no difference to us. One just slightly sucks less than the other. However, those in the political game do care. Democrat partisans especially care, and even Republican partisans care a bit about power. So bear with the horse-race type attitude I'll adopt, there's a larger point at the end.

We've all got the vibe at one point or another that the democrats view themselves as the natural ruling power. They have the youth, minorities, unions, and now business voting blocks on their side. The coalition that (supposedly) beat Trump was able to generate (supposedly) large amounts of people to the voting booth. And while you and I question the full media narrative that I wrote above, one thing is clear (actual numbers being irrelevant) the democrats were able to bring a lot of resources to bear against Trump, and beat him in the end (somewhat).

We've even moaned about the size of the democrat party here even. Like when we are referring to how the huge population centers in America trend left. However, while there is truth in that there may be more democrats than republicans just by sheer numbers, the above graph shows that recently the democrats have not been good about translating it to congressional and senate victories. There's a reason for that.

The democrats back in the 80s saw the California demographics and voting patterns and had a "come to Jesus moment". Following those two things, the democrats would be the unquestioned ruling party of the country in the near future, with Republicans (or whomever remains) playing permanent opposition status. Since adopting that strategy in earnest in the 90s forward, they haven't been able to maintain majority power in the legislative for more than one term.

In a word, democrats aren't doing as hot as everybody is letting on. There's trouble in paradise and there isn't much willpower to address it. That's because that's been some churn happening inside the democrat party and the political groups that drive it.

The majority of Republicans "law and order" voters are (were) from the business block. (Think of how businesses like stable, crime free places in order for them to thrive and grow). They are very demanding, and very flighty politically, but very very powerful. (Think of corporate support for blm rather than small business owners, who obviously got fucked by all sides and by everyone). The addition of (big) business to the democrat fold is going to alienate the populist left and hard left. Already we see can see a mass disinterest in Biden from them, with increasing frustration that they aren't being heard by the new administration. This is happening the hardest to the populist left, who saw most of Biden's cabinet picks go to uninteresting corporate suits and most of their suggestions ignored, only gaining Pete Bootyegg (I have no clue how to spell his name and I don't want to search for it because all I'll get his dem spam across my internet, but it's the gay guy from Indiana) as the secretary of transport (Bullshit appointment on par with housing). The unions (blue collar only, white collar is a lot different) got the boot almost immediately, with only a near groveling "I wish he [Biden] didn't do that" when AFL- CIO union Pres Richard Trumka was asked on air about Biden's exec orders impacting his union. (The most damning thing about this is that it proved to the unions that they have no juice in this administration from day 1, quite the kick in the face).

Even the demographics argument is working against democrats, to a degree. Democrats feel in their bones that the latino's will drive them to victory over the Republicans. However, this again isn't exactly true. While recent Latino immigrants (legal and illegal) do trend blue, second generation Latinos and beyond do not. Dem's belief that Latinos want open borders and relaxed citizenship is only half true. They want that, but only for their family and no one else. Complicating calls for mass amnesty and border (in)security. Dem's belief in latino's wanting greater representation and acceptance is again, half true. They want the inclusion, they do not want to be referred to as Latinx and grouped together as if Florida Cubans are the same as South California Mexican. ("Latino" can refer to a large and very diverse amount of people, some of whom don't even speak spanish). Overall, the demographic argument isn't working as well as the democrats want it to. Especially with Trump being able to draw out one of the largest minority voting blocks for Republicans in a long time.

Democrats face a future in which any path they take, they are going to piss off some core group of voters of theirs. Dems go green, unions hurt. Dems go for students, angry single mothers get even more angry. Dems go more gay, the more they'll piss of the evangelical blacks. Anything they do will be wrong, nobody will be happy with any stance, and the strongest personality holding it all together is a man that can't go an interview with a young woman without asking if "she's a freshman" ( Heelllllllooooooooooo nurse!!!!).

So how's this all going? Mass disillusionment in some cases, as documented by OP. Especially in the Populist left I feel. I think the hard left has gotten a little exasperated as well, as the Trump-hate wears down with time. Overall I think it'll translate with a huge drop in the voting rate for the midterms for both parties. (Voter fraud still being a concern however, so it might not be viewable). Republicans have a way forward, if they weren't caught up trying to shed the largest voter block in history (Populist Right).

I think most people recognize Trump is gone now. That's probably the worst part for the democrats. If they attack him further, it won't be as effective. If they ignore him completely, he may return. Both options aren't great for Dems.

Final notes: Dems could very well have over-extended themselves and as a result put themselves in a weak position. Despite their newly found power, no matter how they wield it, it'll piss someone off within their own. Expect high churn within the ruling party, and be prepared to pick up the exiles. They'll most likely be building us the path forward.

3 years ago
1 score