Geo politics are not my strong suit, not by any measure, but hearing snippets of how terribly China is currently doing, I can't help but feel what we're seeing is them presenting strength when actually weak, as told by Sun Tzu, driven by desperation and internal turmoil.
In short:
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Their economy is also suffering, same as everyone else, and considering how they're the world's manufacturing center, why wouldn't it be?
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You're a fool to think they've locked down Covid to the degree they claim. I guarantee it's ravaging their populace the same as if not worse than anyone else, and they're lying about it, and having their puppets across the globe lie for them.
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I remember something about a famine, coupled with the absolute shit quality of their farm land - a holdover from the days of Mao and his dumbass policies on farming.
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Also, problems with meeting electricity demand, largely because they're trying to play big dick and refuse themselves the Australian coal they so desperately need under the banner of trade sanctions.
Anyone with a better grasp of the situation at hand want to confirm or refute these points? I'm guessing it'll only take a stiff breeze in their direction to cause them to collapse if things are as bad as they could be.
The reason it's kind of hard to know anything about the Chinese Economy is again Paper Tiger, they'll only publish things that make them look good and hide the true figures. That power outage is a good example of how weak their true strength is, even though Aus coal accounted for 1% of total coal used in their local electricity generation.
Example 1 Example 2 They'll use state sponsored media or just outright pay "journalists" to fabricate stories about how great they are.
But there are a few guesses you can make from articles that have come out.
Abandoning GDP goals in the midst of Corona.
China's Debt growing to 330%, almost rivaling Japan in total debt.
China's Inflation over the past 2 years has dropped to almost 0, meaning their economy is slowing but that can be argued that's in line with other Western countries.
China's Economic growth has gone from 10% of GDP in 2010, to 6% of GDP in 2019, forecast of 5% in 2020.
That summery is actually really good so I'll post it here.
Also
Trying to find an answer on Quora that isn't a shill is hard.
So the things I would take away from this is.
2.China's Economy is slowing down and while there are powerful corps like Tencent and the like in country, the actual demand for consumer goods is slowing and that means core inflation is going to rise again and with 330% debt that means more money to print and devaluing the Yuan even further.
So yeah, Paper Tiger. They produce inferior crap on the cheap but they're burning good will with stuff that happened during the pandemic, it'd make business sense to stop relying on Chinese goods but we live in clown world, so things will continue like usual and they'll still act like a dick because they can.
A decent economic article on how to starve off Chinese interest.
It's not uncommon for people in private business say Tencent to have spouses that work in the CCP, at a local province or national level. That sort of feudal intermingling is what keeps their country strong, but also very rigid.