I think it is inevitable that it falls apart, but there is also a chance the division only lasts a decade or two.
Reminds me of the Foundation novels, about the predicted collapse of the galactic empire and the intricate plan to reduce the time spent in the violent interregnum
To loosely quote Romance of the Three Kingdoms, "The kingdom long united must divide; the kingdom long divided must unite."
I think it is inevitable that it falls apart, but there is also a chance the division only lasts a decade or two.
Reminds me of the Foundation novels, about the predicted collapse of the galactic empire and the intricate plan to reduce the time spent in the violent interregnum