From what I understand the accusation is that the money he gave Stormy Daniels falls under: " crime to conspire to promote a candidacy by unlawful means"
What is the angle here, is he trying to turn a misdemeanor that was prescribed to something much bigger?
How can he do that without first having a trial for the misdemeanor itself? Isn't Trump innocent until proven guilty? In that case they must first convict him on the "unlawful means" before charging him on "crime to conspire to promote a candidacy by unlawful means".
What do you guys think it will happen and how do you see it going down?
From what I understand of the charges, it'll be a struggle to get them to stick - even if this court convicts they wouldn't stand up to appeal.
That's not the point of it, though, I suspect. Trump's innocence or not has nothing to do with anything. The point is that the Biden admin will not crack down on an NY DA that's going after a Biden political opponent for any reason at all. And if NY fails, Trump's going to be subject to frivolous suits from other blue states until they manage to take him off the ballot in 2024.
The Dems are pushing this case to bait the dumbest elements of the GOP base to nominate Trump again in 2024.
The Dems will indict Trump in many more frivolous cases to increase GOP base outrage and influence them to rally around a martyred Trump.
If Trump is the nominee, the Dems will not fight to remove him off the ballot.
He supercharged Dem turnout and galvanizes their base while alienating center right suburban voters. Dems would love to run against Trump.
The Dems will wait until they win the 2024 election and they will then ensure Trump is convicted in 2025.
Only way Trump avoids spending his last days in prison is if he loses the primary and another GOP nominee narrowly wins against Biden and protects Trump from Dem prosecution.
While it's probably true that Trump can turn out the republican base better than any other candidate you must weight that against the fact that he also will turn out the democratic base better than any other candidate. Which might be okay if he didn't also turn off the independent voters he must have to win.
Given that, I just don't see how Trump can win in 2024 barring something spectacular happening. The left is very well aware of this and so they badly want him to be the nominee. This litigation is part of their strategy to make that happen as they know that the republican base will rally around Trump in reactionary fashion if they perceive he is being unfairly persecuted.
Trump can't win in 2024. The only reason he won in 2016 is because they didn't cheat enough in key districts. They didn't think they had to. They didn't repeat that mistake in 2020 and they sure as hell won't in 2024.