I know we have some people here that go 'Trump is playing 4d chess, he's the one we need in charge right now' but I got a theory bouncing in my head for why this is happening.
I think there may be people using Trump to goad Desantis into running in 2024 to create another situation where Trump would act as a spoiler candidate, dividing the vote between Republicans so the Dems win. Happened to give Woodrow Wilson the win and can be argued that's how Bush Sr lost but that's cause he raised taxes.
Trump won't back down so even if he lost nomination, I'm 90% sure he'd run independently anyway. Best thing to do is focus on states, house and possibly senate to make it a lame duck president
If Trump loses the nomination and actually becomes a spoiler 3rd party candidate and gifts the Dems 2024, he destroys his legacy completely.
He will be hated by everyone on the right who is not a mindless Trump sycophant.
The Dems would easily be able to indict Trump in 2025 without fear of backlash and most right wing voters would be okay with it.
Right now I just want Trump to retire.
If he is petty and narcissistic enough to doom us to 4 more years of Dem rule over his stupid ego, I will have no sympathy for him when the left will likely railroad him in court.
The Trump currently around is not the 2016 one that shocked the establishment or the 2020 one that was such a threat they changed the rules to win.
I don't know if he has that same force of nature not to step aside for ego if it came to that, which is why I'd rather focus on everything below the presidency
6 representatives managed to hold the house in limbo for days till they got deals to end it that included more restrictions on the speaker, we need more like that in both the house and senate then the president can't do fuck all. The only reason the presidency has so much power is both the house and senate shirking responsibilities for centuries..
Regardless of who is the nominee in 2024, the most important thing is ensuring Dems don't get a trifecta. If the Dems manage to get a trifecta in 2024, kiss everything goodbye.
That means holding the House and or flipping the Senate. Holding the House will be hard as the current majority is very thin.
On the other hand the 2024 Senate map is the most favorable Senate map for Republicans in 2 decades.
There are 3 relatively easy flips in solid red states as long as we can get good candidates as the nominees.
The path to flip the Senate is relatively easy as long as our primary voters don't go full retard like they did in swing states like GA, PA and MI in 2022. We cannot have Herschel Walker, Dr. Oz., Doug Mastriano and Tudor Dixon level nominees again.
Best options:
Governor Jim Justice in WV against Joe Manchin.
Secretary of State Frank LaRose in OH against Sherrod Brown.
Attorney General Austin Knudsen or Governor Greg Gianforte in MT against Jon Tester.
Montana Senate is the race we can easily throw away if the base acts dumb.
Rosendale already lost in 2018 to Tester and he has more baggage since then and Zinke has way too much baggage with his corruption allegations.
The base must think here and not nominate Rosendale and Zinke.
The only incumbent seat that worries me a little is Ted Cruz in Texas.
We need Cruz to run a much better campaign than he did against Beto in 2018.
Cruz will likely be up against Collin Alred who will get big margins in the DFW suburbs. Cruz needs to outperform Trump in the suburbs if Trump is the presidential nominee in 2024. If DeSantis is the nominee, he would carry Cruz easily in 2024.
I know we have some people here that go 'Trump is playing 4d chess, he's the one we need in charge right now' but I got a theory bouncing in my head for why this is happening.
I think there may be people using Trump to goad Desantis into running in 2024 to create another situation where Trump would act as a spoiler candidate, dividing the vote between Republicans so the Dems win. Happened to give Woodrow Wilson the win and can be argued that's how Bush Sr lost but that's cause he raised taxes.
Trump won't back down so even if he lost nomination, I'm 90% sure he'd run independently anyway. Best thing to do is focus on states, house and possibly senate to make it a lame duck president
If Trump loses the nomination and actually becomes a spoiler 3rd party candidate and gifts the Dems 2024, he destroys his legacy completely.
He will be hated by everyone on the right who is not a mindless Trump sycophant.
The Dems would easily be able to indict Trump in 2025 without fear of backlash and most right wing voters would be okay with it.
Right now I just want Trump to retire.
If he is petty and narcissistic enough to doom us to 4 more years of Dem rule over his stupid ego, I will have no sympathy for him when the left will likely railroad him in court.
The Trump currently around is not the 2016 one that shocked the establishment or the 2020 one that was such a threat they changed the rules to win.
I don't know if he has that same force of nature not to step aside for ego if it came to that, which is why I'd rather focus on everything below the presidency
6 representatives managed to hold the house in limbo for days till they got deals to end it that included more restrictions on the speaker, we need more like that in both the house and senate then the president can't do fuck all. The only reason the presidency has so much power is both the house and senate shirking responsibilities for centuries..
Regardless of who is the nominee in 2024, the most important thing is ensuring Dems don't get a trifecta. If the Dems manage to get a trifecta in 2024, kiss everything goodbye.
That means holding the House and or flipping the Senate. Holding the House will be hard as the current majority is very thin.
On the other hand the 2024 Senate map is the most favorable Senate map for Republicans in 2 decades.
There are 3 relatively easy flips in solid red states as long as we can get good candidates as the nominees.
The path to flip the Senate is relatively easy as long as our primary voters don't go full retard like they did in swing states like GA, PA and MI in 2022. We cannot have Herschel Walker, Dr. Oz., Doug Mastriano and Tudor Dixon level nominees again.
Best options:
Governor Jim Justice in WV against Joe Manchin.
Secretary of State Frank LaRose in OH against Sherrod Brown.
Attorney General Austin Knudsen or Governor Greg Gianforte in MT against Jon Tester.
Montana Senate is the race we can easily throw away if the base acts dumb.
Rosendale already lost in 2018 to Tester and he has more baggage since then and Zinke has way too much baggage with his corruption allegations.
The base must think here and not nominate Rosendale and Zinke.
The only incumbent seat that worries me a little is Ted Cruz in Texas.
We need Cruz to run a much better campaign than he did against Beto in 2018.
Cruz will likely be up against Collin Alred who will get big margins in the DFW suburbs. Cruz needs to outperform Trump in the suburbs if Trump is the presidential nominee in 2024. If DeSantis is the nominee, he would carry Cruz easily in 2024.